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Resolution

Struct Resolution 

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pub struct Resolution {
    pub id: String,
    pub prediction_id: String,
    pub actual_outcome: String,
    pub matched_expected: bool,
    pub resolved_at: String,
    pub resolved_by: String,
    pub evidence: Evidence,
    pub confidence: f64,
}
Expand description

v0.34: Resolution closes out a Prediction.

A Resolution records what actually happened, who observed it, when, with what evidence, and whether the actual outcome matched the predicted one. Calibration scoring (Brier, log score, hit rate) runs over the resolved subset of predictions per actor.

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§id: String

vres_<16hex>, content-addressed.

§prediction_id: String

vpred_<id> of the prediction this resolves.

§actual_outcome: String

Free-text description of what actually happened. The matched_expected flag is the structured judgment.

§matched_expected: bool

True if the observed outcome matched the prediction’s expected_outcome. Drives hit-rate and Brier scoring.

§resolved_at: String

RFC 3339 timestamp of resolution.

§resolved_by: String

Stable actor id of the resolver. May or may not be the same actor that made the prediction (independent resolution is stronger).

§evidence: Evidence

Evidence supporting the resolution — typically the paper / trial readout / observation that closes out the bet.

§confidence: f64

Resolver’s confidence in the match judgment, on [0, 1]. Useful when the actual outcome is partial or ambiguous.

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impl Resolution

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pub fn content_address( prediction_id: &str, actual_outcome: &str, resolved_by: &str, resolved_at: &str, matched_expected: bool, ) -> String

Compute the content-addressed ID per v0.34 spec: SHA-256(prediction_id | normalize(actual_outcome) | resolved_by | resolved_at | matched). Returns first 16 hex chars prefixed with “vres_”.

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pub fn new( prediction_id: impl Into<String>, actual_outcome: impl Into<String>, matched_expected: bool, resolved_by: impl Into<String>, evidence: Evidence, confidence: f64, ) -> Self

Construct a Resolution with a freshly-derived id and resolved_at timestamp.

Trait Implementations§

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impl Clone for Resolution

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fn clone(&self) -> Resolution

Returns a duplicate of the value. Read more
1.0.0 (const: unstable) · Source§

fn clone_from(&mut self, source: &Self)

Performs copy-assignment from source. Read more
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impl Debug for Resolution

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fn fmt(&self, f: &mut Formatter<'_>) -> Result

Formats the value using the given formatter. Read more
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impl<'de> Deserialize<'de> for Resolution

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fn deserialize<__D>(__deserializer: __D) -> Result<Self, __D::Error>
where __D: Deserializer<'de>,

Deserialize this value from the given Serde deserializer. Read more
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impl Serialize for Resolution

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fn serialize<__S>(&self, __serializer: __S) -> Result<__S::Ok, __S::Error>
where __S: Serializer,

Serialize this value into the given Serde serializer. Read more

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Gets the TypeId of self. Read more
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Immutably borrows from an owned value. Read more
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unsafe fn clone_to_uninit(&self, dest: *mut u8)

🔬This is a nightly-only experimental API. (clone_to_uninit)
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