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//! Classical time series decomposition methods
use crate::TimeSeries;
use torsh_tensor::creation::{ones, zeros};
// Re-export STLResult for X11 compatibility
pub use super::stl::STLResult;
/// Compute centered moving average
///
/// For even window sizes, uses a weighted average at the center.
/// At the boundaries, pads with the original values.
fn centered_moving_average(data: &[f32], window: usize) -> Vec<f32> {
let n = data.len();
let mut result = vec![0.0; n];
if window == 0 || window > n {
return data.to_vec();
}
let half_window = window / 2;
for i in 0..n {
// Determine the range for averaging
let start = if i >= half_window { i - half_window } else { 0 };
let end = if i + half_window < n {
i + half_window + 1
} else {
n
};
// Compute average
let sum: f32 = data[start..end].iter().sum();
let count = (end - start) as f32;
result[i] = sum / count;
// For boundaries, use original value if window doesn't fit well
if i < half_window || i >= n - half_window {
// Use a blend: weighted average between original and MA
let weight = if i < half_window {
i as f32 / half_window as f32
} else {
(n - 1 - i) as f32 / half_window as f32
};
result[i] = weight * result[i] + (1.0 - weight) * data[i];
}
}
result
}
/// Apply seasonal filter to smooth seasonal component
///
/// Uses convolution with the provided filter weights.
/// The filter is applied with wrapping (circular) to handle period boundaries.
fn apply_seasonal_filter(seasonal: &[f32], filter: &[f64]) -> Vec<f32> {
let n = seasonal.len();
let filter_len = filter.len();
if filter_len == 0 || filter_len > n {
return seasonal.to_vec();
}
let mut result = vec![0.0; n];
let half_filter = filter_len / 2;
for i in 0..n {
let mut sum = 0.0;
for (j, &weight) in filter.iter().enumerate() {
// Circular indexing for seasonal pattern
let idx = if i + j >= half_filter {
(i + j - half_filter) % n
} else {
(n + i + j - half_filter) % n
};
sum += seasonal[idx] * weight as f32;
}
result[i] = sum;
}
result
}
/// X11 decomposition
pub struct X11Decomposition {
period: usize,
seasonal_filter: Option<Vec<f64>>,
}
impl X11Decomposition {
/// Create a new X11 decomposition
pub fn new(period: usize) -> Self {
Self {
period,
seasonal_filter: None,
}
}
/// Set custom seasonal filter weights
pub fn with_seasonal_filter(mut self, filter: Vec<f64>) -> Self {
self.seasonal_filter = Some(filter);
self
}
/// Apply X11 decomposition
///
/// # Algorithm
/// Simplified X11 implementation:
/// 1. Extract trend using centered moving average
/// 2. Apply seasonal filtering (custom filter if provided, otherwise simple averaging)
/// 3. Compute seasonal component with smoothing
/// 4. Compute residuals
///
/// Note: This is a simplified version. The full X11 algorithm includes
/// multiple iterations with outlier detection and sophisticated filters.
pub fn fit(&self, series: &TimeSeries) -> STLResult {
let data = series.values.to_vec().unwrap_or_default();
let n = data.len();
if n < self.period * 2 {
// Not enough data for decomposition
return STLResult {
trend: series.values.clone(),
seasonal: zeros(&[n]).expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
residual: zeros(&[n]).expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
};
}
// Step 1: Extract trend using centered moving average
let trend_data = centered_moving_average(&data, self.period);
// Step 2: Detrend the series
let mut detrended = vec![0.0; n];
for i in 0..n {
detrended[i] = data[i] - trend_data[i];
}
// Step 3: Extract seasonal component with optional custom filtering
let mut seasonal_pattern = vec![0.0; self.period];
let mut counts = vec![0; self.period];
for (i, &val) in detrended.iter().enumerate() {
let season_idx = i % self.period;
// Use values from the middle section where trend is well-defined
if i >= self.period / 2 && i < n - self.period / 2 {
seasonal_pattern[season_idx] += val;
counts[season_idx] += 1;
}
}
// Average seasonal pattern
for i in 0..self.period {
if counts[i] > 0 {
seasonal_pattern[i] /= counts[i] as f32;
}
}
// Apply custom seasonal filter if provided
if let Some(ref filter) = self.seasonal_filter {
seasonal_pattern = apply_seasonal_filter(&seasonal_pattern, filter);
}
// Normalize seasonal component to have mean 0
let seasonal_mean: f32 = seasonal_pattern.iter().sum::<f32>() / self.period as f32;
for val in seasonal_pattern.iter_mut() {
*val -= seasonal_mean;
}
// Replicate seasonal pattern for full series length
let seasonal_data: Vec<f32> = (0..n).map(|i| seasonal_pattern[i % self.period]).collect();
// Step 4: Compute residuals
let residual_data: Vec<f32> = (0..n)
.map(|i| data[i] - trend_data[i] - seasonal_data[i])
.collect();
STLResult {
trend: torsh_tensor::Tensor::from_vec(trend_data, &[n])
.expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
seasonal: torsh_tensor::Tensor::from_vec(seasonal_data, &[n])
.expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
residual: torsh_tensor::Tensor::from_vec(residual_data, &[n])
.expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
}
}
}
/// Classical additive decomposition
pub struct AdditiveDecomposition {
period: usize,
}
impl AdditiveDecomposition {
/// Create a new additive decomposition
pub fn new(period: usize) -> Self {
Self { period }
}
/// Apply additive decomposition: Y(t) = Trend(t) + Seasonal(t) + Residual(t)
///
/// # Algorithm
/// 1. Extract trend using centered moving average of window = period
/// 2. Detrend: detrended(t) = Y(t) - Trend(t)
/// 3. Extract seasonal component by averaging each seasonal position
/// 4. Residual(t) = Y(t) - Trend(t) - Seasonal(t)
pub fn fit(&self, series: &TimeSeries) -> STLResult {
let data = series.values.to_vec().unwrap_or_default();
let n = data.len();
if n < self.period * 2 {
// Not enough data for decomposition
return STLResult {
trend: series.values.clone(),
seasonal: zeros(&[n]).expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
residual: zeros(&[n]).expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
};
}
// Step 1: Extract trend using centered moving average
let trend_data = centered_moving_average(&data, self.period);
// Step 2: Detrend the series
let mut detrended = vec![0.0; n];
for i in 0..n {
detrended[i] = data[i] - trend_data[i];
}
// Step 3: Extract seasonal component
// Average the detrended values at each seasonal position
let mut seasonal_pattern = vec![0.0; self.period];
let mut counts = vec![0; self.period];
for (i, &val) in detrended.iter().enumerate() {
let season_idx = i % self.period;
// Only use valid detrended values (where trend was computed)
if trend_data[i] != data[i] || i >= self.period / 2 && i < n - self.period / 2 {
seasonal_pattern[season_idx] += val;
counts[season_idx] += 1;
}
}
// Average and normalize seasonal pattern (mean = 0)
for i in 0..self.period {
if counts[i] > 0 {
seasonal_pattern[i] /= counts[i] as f32;
}
}
// Normalize seasonal component to have mean 0
let seasonal_mean: f32 = seasonal_pattern.iter().sum::<f32>() / self.period as f32;
for val in seasonal_pattern.iter_mut() {
*val -= seasonal_mean;
}
// Replicate seasonal pattern for full series length
let seasonal_data: Vec<f32> = (0..n).map(|i| seasonal_pattern[i % self.period]).collect();
// Step 4: Compute residuals
let residual_data: Vec<f32> = (0..n)
.map(|i| data[i] - trend_data[i] - seasonal_data[i])
.collect();
STLResult {
trend: torsh_tensor::Tensor::from_vec(trend_data, &[n])
.expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
seasonal: torsh_tensor::Tensor::from_vec(seasonal_data, &[n])
.expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
residual: torsh_tensor::Tensor::from_vec(residual_data, &[n])
.expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
}
}
}
/// Classical multiplicative decomposition
pub struct MultiplicativeDecomposition {
period: usize,
}
impl MultiplicativeDecomposition {
/// Create a new multiplicative decomposition
pub fn new(period: usize) -> Self {
Self { period }
}
/// Apply multiplicative decomposition: Y(t) = Trend(t) * Seasonal(t) * Residual(t)
///
/// # Algorithm
/// 1. Extract trend using centered moving average of window = period
/// 2. Detrend: detrended(t) = Y(t) / Trend(t)
/// 3. Extract seasonal component by averaging each seasonal position
/// 4. Residual(t) = Y(t) / (Trend(t) * Seasonal(t))
///
/// # Note
/// Requires all values to be positive (> 0). If negative or zero values
/// are present, they are treated as small positive values (epsilon = 1e-8).
pub fn fit(&self, series: &TimeSeries) -> STLResult {
let data = series.values.to_vec().unwrap_or_default();
let n = data.len();
if n < self.period * 2 {
// Not enough data for decomposition
return STLResult {
trend: series.values.clone(),
seasonal: ones(&[n]).expect("tensor creation should succeed"), // All ones for multiplicative
residual: ones(&[n]).expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
};
}
// Ensure all data is positive (multiplicative decomposition requirement)
let epsilon = 1e-8;
let positive_data: Vec<f32> = data.iter().map(|&x| x.max(epsilon)).collect();
// Step 1: Extract trend using centered moving average
let trend_data = centered_moving_average(&positive_data, self.period);
// Ensure trend is positive
let trend_data: Vec<f32> = trend_data.iter().map(|&x| x.max(epsilon)).collect();
// Step 2: Detrend the series (divide by trend)
let mut detrended = vec![1.0; n];
for i in 0..n {
detrended[i] = positive_data[i] / trend_data[i];
}
// Step 3: Extract seasonal component
// Average the detrended values at each seasonal position
let mut seasonal_pattern = vec![0.0; self.period];
let mut counts = vec![0; self.period];
for (i, &val) in detrended.iter().enumerate() {
let season_idx = i % self.period;
// Only use valid detrended values (where trend was computed reasonably)
if i >= self.period / 2 && i < n - self.period / 2 {
seasonal_pattern[season_idx] += val;
counts[season_idx] += 1;
}
}
// Average seasonal pattern
for i in 0..self.period {
if counts[i] > 0 {
seasonal_pattern[i] /= counts[i] as f32;
} else {
seasonal_pattern[i] = 1.0; // Neutral element for multiplication
}
}
// Normalize seasonal component to have mean 1 (multiplicative neutral)
let seasonal_mean: f32 = seasonal_pattern.iter().sum::<f32>() / self.period as f32;
if seasonal_mean > epsilon {
for val in seasonal_pattern.iter_mut() {
*val /= seasonal_mean;
}
}
// Replicate seasonal pattern for full series length
let seasonal_data: Vec<f32> = (0..n).map(|i| seasonal_pattern[i % self.period]).collect();
// Step 4: Compute residuals (multiplicative: divide)
let residual_data: Vec<f32> = (0..n)
.map(|i| positive_data[i] / (trend_data[i] * seasonal_data[i]))
.collect();
STLResult {
trend: torsh_tensor::Tensor::from_vec(trend_data, &[n])
.expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
seasonal: torsh_tensor::Tensor::from_vec(seasonal_data, &[n])
.expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
residual: torsh_tensor::Tensor::from_vec(residual_data, &[n])
.expect("tensor creation should succeed"),
}
}
}
#[cfg(test)]
mod tests {
use super::*;
use crate::TimeSeries;
use torsh_tensor::Tensor;
fn create_test_series() -> TimeSeries {
// Create synthetic time series with trend and seasonality
let mut data = Vec::new();
for i in 0..50 {
let trend = i as f32 * 0.1;
let seasonal = (i as f32 * 2.0 * std::f32::consts::PI / 12.0).sin() * 2.0;
let noise = 0.1;
data.push(trend + seasonal + noise);
}
let tensor = Tensor::from_vec(data, &[50]).expect("Tensor should succeed");
TimeSeries::new(tensor)
}
#[test]
fn test_x11_decomposition() {
let series = create_test_series();
let x11 = X11Decomposition::new(12);
let result = x11.fit(&series);
assert_eq!(result.trend.shape().dims()[0], series.len());
assert_eq!(result.seasonal.shape().dims()[0], series.len());
assert_eq!(result.residual.shape().dims()[0], series.len());
}
#[test]
fn test_x11_with_filter() {
let filter = vec![0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.2, 0.1];
let x11 = X11Decomposition::new(12).with_seasonal_filter(filter);
assert!(x11.seasonal_filter.is_some());
}
#[test]
fn test_additive_decomposition() {
let series = create_test_series();
let decomp = AdditiveDecomposition::new(12);
let result = decomp.fit(&series);
assert_eq!(result.trend.shape().dims()[0], series.len());
}
#[test]
fn test_multiplicative_decomposition() {
let series = create_test_series();
let decomp = MultiplicativeDecomposition::new(12);
let result = decomp.fit(&series);
assert_eq!(result.trend.shape().dims()[0], series.len());
}
}