use scirs2_core::ndarray::{Array1, Array2};
use std::collections::{HashMap, VecDeque};
use std::sync::{Arc, RwLock};
use std::time::{Duration, Instant};
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct PerformancePredictor {
models: HashMap<String, PredictionModel>,
historical_data: VecDeque<HistoricalPerformance>,
feature_extractors: Vec<PerformanceFeatureExtractor>,
accuracy_tracker: PredictionAccuracyTracker,
config: PredictorConfig,
ensemble: ModelEnsemble,
feature_processor: FeatureProcessor,
prediction_cache: Arc<RwLock<HashMap<String, CachedPrediction>>>,
cross_validator: CrossValidationManager,
anomaly_detector: PredictionAnomalyDetector,
auto_ml: AutoMLPipeline,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct PredictionModel {
pub id: String,
pub model_type: PredictionModelType,
pub parameters: HashMap<String, f64>,
pub training_config: ModelTrainingConfig,
pub performance: ModelPerformance,
pub feature_importance: HashMap<String, f64>,
pub training_history: TrainingHistory,
pub validation_results: ValidationResults,
pub hyperparameter_history: Vec<HyperparameterSnapshot>,
pub interpretability: ModelInterpretability,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq, Hash)]
pub enum PredictionModelType {
TimeSeriesARIMA,
TimeSeriesLSTM,
TimeSeriesGRU,
TimeSeriesTransformer,
RegressionLinear,
RegressionPolynomial,
RegressionRandomForest,
RegressionSVR,
RegressionXGBoost,
RegressionLightGBM,
RegressionGaussianProcess,
EnsembleModel,
EnsembleNeural,
EnsembleBayesian,
Custom,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct Prediction {
pub timestamp: Instant,
pub values: HashMap<String, f64>,
pub confidence_intervals: HashMap<String, (f64, f64)>,
pub uncertainty: HashMap<String, f64>,
pub contributing_factors: HashMap<String, f64>,
pub model_id: String,
pub horizon: Duration,
pub quality_score: f32,
pub anomaly_flags: Vec<AnomalyFlag>,
pub metadata: PredictionMetadata,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct TrendPrediction {
pub direction: TrendDirection,
pub confidence: f32,
pub horizon: Duration,
pub expected_magnitude: f64,
pub persistence_probability: f32,
pub seasonal_components: Vec<SeasonalComponent>,
pub reversal_probability: f32,
pub volatility_prediction: f32,
pub breakpoint_probabilities: Vec<(Instant, f32)>,
pub quality_assessment: TrendQualityAssessment,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq)]
pub enum TrendDirection {
StrongIncreasing,
ModerateIncreasing,
WeakIncreasing,
Stable,
WeakDecreasing,
ModerateDecreasing,
StrongDecreasing,
Cyclical,
Volatile,
Indeterminate,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct HistoricalPerformance {
pub timestamp: Instant,
pub metrics: HashMap<String, f64>,
pub configuration: HashMap<String, String>,
pub environment: EnvironmentalFactors,
pub resource_utilization: ResourceUtilization,
pub workload_characteristics: WorkloadCharacteristics,
pub data_quality: f32,
pub strategy_id: String,
pub context: HashMap<String, String>,
pub validation_flags: Vec<ValidationFlag>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct PerformanceFeatureExtractor {
pub name: String,
pub feature_type: PerformanceFeatureType,
pub parameters: HashMap<String, f64>,
pub importance: f32,
pub window_size: usize,
pub transformations: Vec<FeatureTransformation>,
pub normalization: NormalizationConfig,
pub selection_criteria: FeatureSelectionCriteria,
pub extraction_metrics: ExtractionMetrics,
pub dependencies: Vec<String>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq)]
pub enum PerformanceFeatureType {
Statistical,
Temporal,
Spectral,
Complexity,
Pattern,
Contextual,
CrossCorrelation,
Wavelet,
Fractal,
InformationTheory,
Graph,
Composite,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct FeatureExtractor {
pub name: String,
pub extractor_type: ExtractorType,
pub importance: f32,
pub parameters: HashMap<String, f64>,
pub complexity: ComputationalComplexity,
pub stability: f32,
pub target_correlation: f32,
pub reliability: f32,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq)]
pub enum ExtractorType {
Statistical,
Temporal,
Frequency,
Structural,
Contextual,
Composite,
DeepLearning,
Kernel,
Ensemble,
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct PredictionAccuracyTracker {
model_accuracy: HashMap<String, AccuracyMetrics>,
accuracy_history: VecDeque<AccuracySnapshot>,
overall_accuracy: f32,
best_model: Option<String>,
model_ranking: Vec<(String, f32)>,
accuracy_trends: HashMap<String, TrendAnalysis>,
cv_results: HashMap<String, CrossValidationResults>,
significance_tests: HashMap<String, SignificanceTestResults>,
calibration_data: HashMap<String, CalibrationData>,
accuracy_alerts: Vec<AccuracyAlert>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct AccuracyMetrics {
pub mae: f64,
pub rmse: f64,
pub mape: f64,
pub r_squared: f64,
pub msle: f64,
pub smape: f64,
pub directional_accuracy: f32,
pub interval_coverage: f32,
pub bias: f64,
pub variance: f64,
pub calibration_error: f64,
pub p_value: f64,
pub effect_size: f64,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct AccuracySnapshot {
pub timestamp: Instant,
pub model_accuracies: HashMap<String, AccuracyMetrics>,
pub best_model: String,
pub system_accuracy: f32,
pub data_quality: f32,
pub conditions: HashMap<String, String>,
pub sample_size: usize,
pub confidence_intervals: HashMap<String, (f64, f64)>,
pub model_agreement: f32,
pub anomaly_score: f32,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct PredictorConfig {
pub prediction_horizon: Duration,
pub update_frequency: Duration,
pub min_training_data: usize,
pub max_historical_data: usize,
pub feature_config: FeatureExtractionConfig,
pub ensemble_config: EnsembleConfig,
pub cv_config: CrossValidationConfig,
pub auto_ml_config: AutoMLConfig,
pub cache_config: CacheConfig,
pub quality_thresholds: QualityThresholds,
pub resource_limits: ResourceLimits,
pub alert_config: AlertConfig,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct ModelPerformance {
pub accuracy: f32,
pub mse: f64,
pub mae: f64,
pub training_time: Duration,
pub inference_time: Duration,
pub memory_usage: u64,
pub complexity: f32,
pub generalization: f32,
pub robustness: f32,
pub feature_sensitivity: HashMap<String, f32>,
pub stability: f32,
pub interpretability: f32,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct OnlineLearningConfig {
pub enabled: bool,
pub learning_rate: f32,
pub batch_size: usize,
pub update_frequency: Duration,
pub forgetting_factor: f32,
pub min_examples: usize,
pub max_memory_mb: usize,
pub adaptive_lr: bool,
pub lr_decay: f32,
pub regularization: f32,
pub early_stopping: EarlyStoppingConfig,
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct ModelEnsemble {
models: Vec<String>,
weights: HashMap<String, f32>,
ensemble_method: EnsembleMethod,
diversity_metrics: DiversityMetrics,
performance: EnsemblePerformance,
weight_adaptation: WeightAdaptation,
consensus_analyzer: ConsensusAnalyzer,
pruning_strategy: EnsemblePruningStrategy,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq)]
pub enum EnsembleMethod {
Average,
WeightedAverage,
Median,
BestModel,
BayesianAveraging,
Stacking,
Boosting,
Bagging,
DynamicSelection,
Hierarchical,
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct FeatureProcessor {
pipeline: Vec<PreprocessingStep>,
scaling_params: HashMap<String, ScalingParameters>,
selection_mask: Vec<bool>,
processing_stats: ProcessingStatistics,
quality_monitors: Vec<FeatureQualityMonitor>,
feature_cache: Arc<RwLock<HashMap<String, CachedFeature>>>,
streaming_processor: StreamingFeatureProcessor,
drift_detector: FeatureDriftDetector,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct CachedPrediction {
pub prediction: Prediction,
pub cached_at: Instant,
pub expires_at: Instant,
pub hit_count: u64,
pub validity_score: f32,
pub metadata: HashMap<String, String>,
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct CrossValidationManager {
strategy: CrossValidationStrategy,
fold_config: FoldConfiguration,
results: HashMap<String, CrossValidationResults>,
performance_tracker: ValidationPerformanceTracker,
statistical_tests: StatisticalTestFramework,
quality_assurance: ValidationQualityAssurance,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq)]
pub enum CrossValidationStrategy {
KFold,
StratifiedKFold,
TimeSeriesSplit,
LeaveOneOut,
MonteCarlo,
Nested,
WalkForward,
BlockedTimeSeries,
Purged,
CombinatorialPurged,
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct PredictionAnomalyDetector {
detectors: HashMap<String, AnomalyDetectionAlgorithm>,
thresholds: AnomalyThresholds,
detection_history: VecDeque<AnomalyDetectionResult>,
alert_system: AnomalyAlertSystem,
explanation_system: AnomalyExplanationSystem,
adaptive_thresholds: AdaptiveThresholdSystem,
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct AutoMLPipeline {
algorithm_space: Vec<PredictionModelType>,
hyperparameter_space: HashMap<String, ParameterRange>,
optimization_strategy: OptimizationStrategy,
search_history: Vec<SearchIteration>,
best_configurations: HashMap<String, ModelConfiguration>,
nas_system: NeuralArchitectureSearch,
meta_learning: MetaLearningSystem,
budget_manager: AutoMLBudgetManager,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct EnvironmentalFactors {
pub system_load: f32,
pub memory_pressure: f32,
pub gpu_utilization: f32,
pub network_conditions: NetworkConditions,
pub temperature: f32,
pub power_state: PowerState,
pub background_impact: f32,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct ResourceUtilization {
pub cpu_utilization: f32,
pub memory_utilization: MemoryUtilization,
pub gpu_utilization: GpuUtilization,
pub io_utilization: IoUtilization,
pub network_utilization: NetworkUtilization,
pub storage_utilization: StorageUtilization,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct WorkloadCharacteristics {
pub data_size: u64,
pub operation_complexity: f32,
pub parallelization: f32,
pub memory_patterns: MemoryAccessPatterns,
pub compute_intensity: f32,
pub locality_score: f32,
pub workload_type: WorkloadType,
}
impl PerformancePredictor {
pub fn new(config: PredictorConfig) -> Self {
Self {
models: HashMap::new(),
historical_data: VecDeque::new(),
feature_extractors: Self::initialize_feature_extractors(&config),
accuracy_tracker: PredictionAccuracyTracker::new(),
config: config.clone(),
ensemble: ModelEnsemble::new(config.ensemble_config.clone()),
feature_processor: FeatureProcessor::new(),
prediction_cache: Arc::new(RwLock::new(HashMap::new())),
cross_validator: CrossValidationManager::new(config.cv_config.clone()),
anomaly_detector: PredictionAnomalyDetector::new(),
auto_ml: AutoMLPipeline::new(config.auto_ml_config.clone()),
}
}
pub fn add_historical_data(
&mut self,
data: HistoricalPerformance,
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
if self.validate_data_quality(&data) {
self.historical_data.push_back(data);
if self.historical_data.len() > self.config.max_historical_data {
self.historical_data.pop_front();
}
if self.historical_data.len() % 100 == 0 {
self.update_models()?;
}
Ok(())
} else {
Err(PredictionError::InvalidDataQuality)
}
}
pub fn train_models(&mut self) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
if self.historical_data.len() < self.config.min_training_data {
return Err(PredictionError::InsufficientData);
}
let features = self.extract_training_features()?;
let targets = self.extract_target_values()?;
for model_type in &[
PredictionModelType::TimeSeriesLSTM,
PredictionModelType::RegressionRandomForest,
PredictionModelType::RegressionXGBoost,
PredictionModelType::EnsembleModel,
] {
let model = self.train_single_model(*model_type, &features, &targets)?;
self.models.insert(model.id.clone(), model);
}
self.ensemble.update_weights(&self.models)?;
self.cross_validate_models()?;
Ok(())
}
pub fn predict(
&mut self,
strategy_id: &str,
horizon: Duration,
) -> Result<Prediction, PredictionError> {
if let Some(cached) = self.get_cached_prediction(strategy_id, horizon) {
return Ok(cached.prediction);
}
let features = self.extract_current_features(strategy_id)?;
let prediction = self.ensemble.predict(&features, horizon)?;
let anomaly_flags = self
.anomaly_detector
.detect_prediction_anomalies(&prediction)?;
let final_prediction = Prediction {
timestamp: Instant::now(),
values: prediction.values,
confidence_intervals: prediction.confidence_intervals,
uncertainty: prediction.uncertainty,
contributing_factors: self.analyze_contributing_factors(&features)?,
model_id: prediction.model_id,
horizon,
quality_score: self.assess_prediction_quality(&prediction)?,
anomaly_flags,
metadata: self.create_prediction_metadata(strategy_id, &features)?,
};
self.cache_prediction(strategy_id, &final_prediction)?;
Ok(final_prediction)
}
pub fn predict_trend(
&self,
metric: &str,
horizon: Duration,
) -> Result<TrendPrediction, PredictionError> {
let trend_analyzer = TrendAnalyzer::new(&self.historical_data);
let current_trend = trend_analyzer.analyze_current_trend(metric)?;
let trend_prediction = TrendPrediction {
direction: current_trend.direction,
confidence: current_trend.confidence,
horizon,
expected_magnitude: current_trend.expected_magnitude,
persistence_probability: current_trend.persistence_probability,
seasonal_components: trend_analyzer.detect_seasonality(metric)?,
reversal_probability: trend_analyzer.calculate_reversal_probability(metric)?,
volatility_prediction: trend_analyzer.predict_volatility(metric, horizon)?,
breakpoint_probabilities: trend_analyzer.detect_breakpoints(metric)?,
quality_assessment: trend_analyzer.assess_trend_quality(metric)?,
};
Ok(trend_prediction)
}
pub fn update_models(&mut self) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
if !self.config.feature_config.online_learning.enabled {
return Ok(());
}
let recent_data: Vec<_> = self
.historical_data
.iter()
.rev()
.take(self.config.feature_config.online_learning.batch_size)
.collect();
if recent_data.len() < self.config.feature_config.online_learning.min_examples {
return Ok(());
}
for model in self.models.values_mut() {
self.update_model_online(model, &recent_data)?;
}
self.ensemble.adapt_weights(&self.models)?;
Ok(())
}
pub fn get_accuracy_metrics(&self) -> HashMap<String, AccuracyMetrics> {
self.accuracy_tracker.get_current_metrics()
}
pub fn get_best_model(&self) -> Option<&str> {
self.accuracy_tracker.get_best_model()
}
pub fn validate_prediction(
&mut self,
prediction: &Prediction,
actual: &HashMap<String, f64>,
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
let accuracy = self.calculate_prediction_accuracy(prediction, actual)?;
self.accuracy_tracker
.add_accuracy_measurement(prediction.model_id.clone(), accuracy);
if let Some(model) = self.models.get_mut(&prediction.model_id) {
self.update_model_performance(model, &accuracy);
}
if accuracy.mae > 0.1 && accuracy.r_squared < 0.5 {
self.schedule_model_retraining()?;
}
Ok(())
}
pub fn export_models(&self) -> Result<Vec<ExportedModel>, PredictionError> {
self.models
.values()
.map(|model| self.export_single_model(model))
.collect()
}
pub fn import_models(&mut self, models: Vec<ExportedModel>) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
for exported_model in models {
let model = self.import_single_model(exported_model)?;
self.models.insert(model.id.clone(), model);
}
Ok(())
}
fn initialize_feature_extractors(config: &PredictorConfig) -> Vec<PerformanceFeatureExtractor> {
vec![
PerformanceFeatureExtractor::new("statistical", PerformanceFeatureType::Statistical),
PerformanceFeatureExtractor::new("temporal", PerformanceFeatureType::Temporal),
PerformanceFeatureExtractor::new("spectral", PerformanceFeatureType::Spectral),
PerformanceFeatureExtractor::new("complexity", PerformanceFeatureType::Complexity),
PerformanceFeatureExtractor::new("pattern", PerformanceFeatureType::Pattern),
PerformanceFeatureExtractor::new("contextual", PerformanceFeatureType::Contextual),
]
}
fn validate_data_quality(&self, data: &HistoricalPerformance) -> bool {
data.data_quality >= 0.7
&& !data.metrics.is_empty()
&& data.validation_flags.iter().all(|flag| !flag.is_critical())
}
fn extract_training_features(&self) -> Result<Array2<f64>, PredictionError> {
let mut features = Vec::new();
for data_point in &self.historical_data {
let mut feature_vector = Vec::new();
for extractor in &self.feature_extractors {
let extracted_features = extractor.extract_features(data_point)?;
feature_vector.extend(extracted_features);
}
features.push(feature_vector);
}
if features.is_empty() {
return Err(PredictionError::NoFeatures);
}
let feature_matrix = Array2::from_shape_vec(
(features.len(), features[0].len()),
features.into_iter().flatten().collect(),
)
.map_err(|_| PredictionError::InvalidFeatureShape)?;
Ok(feature_matrix)
}
fn extract_target_values(&self) -> Result<Array1<f64>, PredictionError> {
let targets: Vec<f64> = self
.historical_data
.iter()
.filter_map(|data| data.metrics.get("performance_score").copied())
.collect();
if targets.is_empty() {
return Err(PredictionError::NoTargets);
}
Ok(Array1::from_vec(targets))
}
fn train_single_model(
&self,
model_type: PredictionModelType,
features: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array1<f64>,
) -> Result<PredictionModel, PredictionError> {
let mut model = PredictionModel::new(model_type);
match model_type {
PredictionModelType::TimeSeriesLSTM => {
self.train_lstm_model(&mut model, features, targets)?;
}
PredictionModelType::RegressionRandomForest => {
self.train_rf_model(&mut model, features, targets)?;
}
PredictionModelType::RegressionXGBoost => {
self.train_xgboost_model(&mut model, features, targets)?;
}
PredictionModelType::EnsembleModel => {
self.train_ensemble_model(&mut model, features, targets)?;
}
_ => return Err(PredictionError::UnsupportedModelType),
}
let validation_results = self.validate_trained_model(&model, features, targets)?;
model.validation_results = validation_results;
Ok(model)
}
fn cross_validate_models(&mut self) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
let features = self.extract_training_features()?;
let targets = self.extract_target_values()?;
for (model_id, model) in &self.models {
let cv_results = self
.cross_validator
.validate_model(model, &features, &targets)?;
self.accuracy_tracker
.add_cv_results(model_id.clone(), cv_results);
}
Ok(())
}
fn get_cached_prediction(
&self,
strategy_id: &str,
horizon: Duration,
) -> Option<&CachedPrediction> {
let cache = self.prediction_cache.read().expect("lock should not be poisoned");
let cache_key = format!("{}_{:?}", strategy_id, horizon);
if let Some(cached) = cache.get(&cache_key) {
if cached.expires_at > Instant::now() {
return Some(cached);
}
}
None
}
fn extract_current_features(&self, strategy_id: &str) -> Result<Array1<f64>, PredictionError> {
let latest_data = self
.historical_data
.iter()
.rev()
.find(|data| data.strategy_id == strategy_id)
.ok_or(PredictionError::NoDataForStrategy)?;
let mut feature_vector = Vec::new();
for extractor in &self.feature_extractors {
let extracted_features = extractor.extract_features(latest_data)?;
feature_vector.extend(extracted_features);
}
Ok(Array1::from_vec(feature_vector))
}
fn analyze_contributing_factors(
&self,
features: &Array1<f64>,
) -> Result<HashMap<String, f64>, PredictionError> {
let mut factors = HashMap::new();
if let Some(best_model_id) = self.accuracy_tracker.get_best_model() {
if let Some(best_model) = self.models.get(best_model_id) {
for (i, feature_name) in self.get_feature_names().iter().enumerate() {
if let Some(importance) = best_model.feature_importance.get(feature_name) {
factors.insert(feature_name.clone(), features[i] * importance);
}
}
}
}
Ok(factors)
}
fn assess_prediction_quality(&self, prediction: &Prediction) -> Result<f32, PredictionError> {
let mut quality_score = 1.0;
let avg_uncertainty: f64 =
prediction.uncertainty.values().sum::<f64>() / prediction.uncertainty.len() as f64;
quality_score *= (1.0 - avg_uncertainty as f32).max(0.0);
if let Some(model) = self.models.get(&prediction.model_id) {
quality_score *= model.performance.accuracy;
}
let data_age = self
.historical_data
.back()
.map(|data| data.timestamp.elapsed().as_secs() as f32 / 3600.0)
.unwrap_or(24.0);
let recency_factor = (1.0 - (data_age / 24.0).min(1.0)).max(0.1);
quality_score *= recency_factor;
Ok(quality_score.clamp(0.0, 1.0))
}
fn create_prediction_metadata(
&self,
strategy_id: &str,
features: &Array1<f64>,
) -> Result<PredictionMetadata, PredictionError> {
Ok(PredictionMetadata {
strategy_id: strategy_id.to_string(),
feature_count: features.len(),
data_points_used: self.historical_data.len(),
model_count: self.models.len(),
prediction_timestamp: Instant::now(),
feature_importance_summary: self.summarize_feature_importance()?,
model_consensus: self.calculate_model_consensus()?,
data_quality_score: self.calculate_data_quality_score()?,
})
}
fn cache_prediction(
&mut self,
strategy_id: &str,
prediction: &Prediction,
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
let cache_key = format!("{}_{:?}", strategy_id, prediction.horizon);
let cached_prediction = CachedPrediction {
prediction: prediction.clone(),
cached_at: Instant::now(),
expires_at: Instant::now() + Duration::from_secs(300), hit_count: 0,
validity_score: prediction.quality_score,
metadata: HashMap::new(),
};
let mut cache = self.prediction_cache.write().expect("lock should not be poisoned");
cache.insert(cache_key, cached_prediction);
Ok(())
}
fn get_feature_names(&self) -> Vec<String> {
self.feature_extractors
.iter()
.map(|extractor| extractor.name.clone())
.collect()
}
fn train_lstm_model(
&self,
model: &mut PredictionModel,
features: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array1<f64>,
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
Ok(())
}
fn train_rf_model(
&self,
model: &mut PredictionModel,
features: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array1<f64>,
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
Ok(())
}
fn train_xgboost_model(
&self,
model: &mut PredictionModel,
features: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array1<f64>,
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
Ok(())
}
fn train_ensemble_model(
&self,
model: &mut PredictionModel,
features: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array1<f64>,
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
Ok(())
}
fn validate_trained_model(
&self,
model: &PredictionModel,
features: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array1<f64>,
) -> Result<ValidationResults, PredictionError> {
Ok(ValidationResults::default())
}
fn update_model_online(
&self,
model: &mut PredictionModel,
recent_data: &[&HistoricalPerformance],
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
Ok(())
}
fn calculate_prediction_accuracy(
&self,
prediction: &Prediction,
actual: &HashMap<String, f64>,
) -> Result<AccuracyMetrics, PredictionError> {
Ok(AccuracyMetrics::default())
}
fn update_model_performance(&self, model: &mut PredictionModel, accuracy: &AccuracyMetrics) {
model.performance.accuracy = (1.0 - accuracy.mape as f32).max(0.0);
}
fn schedule_model_retraining(&mut self) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
Ok(())
}
fn export_single_model(
&self,
model: &PredictionModel,
) -> Result<ExportedModel, PredictionError> {
Ok(ExportedModel::default())
}
fn import_single_model(
&self,
exported: ExportedModel,
) -> Result<PredictionModel, PredictionError> {
Ok(PredictionModel::default())
}
fn summarize_feature_importance(&self) -> Result<HashMap<String, f32>, PredictionError> {
Ok(HashMap::new())
}
fn calculate_model_consensus(&self) -> Result<f32, PredictionError> {
Ok(0.5)
}
fn calculate_data_quality_score(&self) -> Result<f32, PredictionError> {
let avg_quality: f32 = self
.historical_data
.iter()
.map(|data| data.data_quality)
.sum::<f32>()
/ self.historical_data.len() as f32;
Ok(avg_quality)
}
}
impl Default for PredictorConfig {
fn default() -> Self {
Self {
prediction_horizon: Duration::from_secs(3600),
update_frequency: Duration::from_secs(300),
min_training_data: 1000,
max_historical_data: 10000,
feature_config: FeatureExtractionConfig::default(),
ensemble_config: EnsembleConfig::default(),
cv_config: CrossValidationConfig::default(),
auto_ml_config: AutoMLConfig::default(),
cache_config: CacheConfig::default(),
quality_thresholds: QualityThresholds::default(),
resource_limits: ResourceLimits::default(),
alert_config: AlertConfig::default(),
}
}
}
impl Default for OnlineLearningConfig {
fn default() -> Self {
Self {
enabled: true,
learning_rate: 0.01,
batch_size: 32,
update_frequency: Duration::from_secs(60),
forgetting_factor: 0.9,
min_examples: 100,
max_memory_mb: 512,
adaptive_lr: true,
lr_decay: 0.95,
regularization: 0.01,
early_stopping: EarlyStoppingConfig::default(),
}
}
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub enum PredictionError {
InvalidDataQuality,
InsufficientData,
NoFeatures,
InvalidFeatureShape,
NoTargets,
UnsupportedModelType,
NoDataForStrategy,
ModelTrainingFailed,
CrossValidationFailed,
CacheError,
ExportError,
ImportError,
}
impl std::fmt::Display for PredictionError {
fn fmt(&self, f: &mut std::fmt::Formatter<'_>) -> std::fmt::Result {
match self {
PredictionError::InvalidDataQuality => {
write!(f, "Data quality is insufficient for prediction")
}
PredictionError::InsufficientData => write!(f, "Not enough training data available"),
PredictionError::NoFeatures => write!(f, "No features could be extracted"),
PredictionError::InvalidFeatureShape => write!(f, "Feature matrix has invalid shape"),
PredictionError::NoTargets => write!(f, "No target values found"),
PredictionError::UnsupportedModelType => write!(f, "Model type is not supported"),
PredictionError::NoDataForStrategy => {
write!(f, "No data available for the specified strategy")
}
PredictionError::ModelTrainingFailed => write!(f, "Model training failed"),
PredictionError::CrossValidationFailed => write!(f, "Cross-validation failed"),
PredictionError::CacheError => write!(f, "Prediction cache error"),
PredictionError::ExportError => write!(f, "Model export failed"),
PredictionError::ImportError => write!(f, "Model import failed"),
}
}
}
impl std::error::Error for PredictionError {}
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ModelTrainingConfig;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct TrainingHistory;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ValidationResults;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct HyperparameterSnapshot;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ModelInterpretability;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct SeasonalComponent;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct TrendQualityAssessment;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ValidationFlag;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct NetworkConditions;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct PowerState;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct MemoryUtilization;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct GpuUtilization;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct IoUtilization;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct NetworkUtilization;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct StorageUtilization;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct MemoryAccessPatterns;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct WorkloadType;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct TrendAnalysis;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct CrossValidationResults;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct SignificanceTestResults;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct CalibrationData;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AccuracyAlert;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct FeatureExtractionConfig;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct EnsembleConfig;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct CrossValidationConfig;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AutoMLConfig;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct CacheConfig;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct QualityThresholds;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ResourceLimits;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AlertConfig;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct EarlyStoppingConfig;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct DiversityMetrics;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct EnsemblePerformance;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct WeightAdaptation;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ConsensusAnalyzer;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct EnsemblePruningStrategy;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct PreprocessingStep;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ScalingParameters;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ProcessingStatistics;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct FeatureQualityMonitor;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct CachedFeature;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct StreamingFeatureProcessor;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct FeatureDriftDetector;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct FoldConfiguration;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ValidationPerformanceTracker;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct StatisticalTestFramework;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ValidationQualityAssurance;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AnomalyDetectionAlgorithm;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AnomalyThresholds;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AnomalyDetectionResult;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AnomalyAlertSystem;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AnomalyExplanationSystem;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AdaptiveThresholdSystem;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ParameterRange;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct OptimizationStrategy;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct SearchIteration;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ModelConfiguration;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct NeuralArchitectureSearch;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct MetaLearningSystem;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AutoMLBudgetManager;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ComputationalComplexity;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct FeatureTransformation;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct NormalizationConfig;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct FeatureSelectionCriteria;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ExtractionMetrics;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct AnomalyFlag;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct PredictionMetadata;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct ExportedModel;
#[derive(Debug, Default)]
pub struct TrendAnalyzer;
impl ValidationFlag {
fn is_critical(&self) -> bool {
false
}
}
impl AccuracyMetrics {
fn default() -> Self {
Self {
mae: 0.0,
rmse: 0.0,
mape: 0.0,
r_squared: 0.0,
msle: 0.0,
smape: 0.0,
directional_accuracy: 0.0,
interval_coverage: 0.0,
bias: 0.0,
variance: 0.0,
calibration_error: 0.0,
p_value: 0.0,
effect_size: 0.0,
}
}
}
impl PredictionModel {
fn new(model_type: PredictionModelType) -> Self {
Self {
id: format!("{:?}_{}", model_type, Instant::now().elapsed().as_nanos()),
model_type,
parameters: HashMap::new(),
training_config: ModelTrainingConfig::default(),
performance: ModelPerformance::default(),
feature_importance: HashMap::new(),
training_history: TrainingHistory::default(),
validation_results: ValidationResults::default(),
hyperparameter_history: Vec::new(),
interpretability: ModelInterpretability::default(),
}
}
fn default() -> Self {
Self::new(PredictionModelType::RegressionLinear)
}
}
impl PerformanceFeatureExtractor {
fn new(name: &str, feature_type: PerformanceFeatureType) -> Self {
Self {
name: name.to_string(),
feature_type,
parameters: HashMap::new(),
importance: 1.0,
window_size: 100,
transformations: Vec::new(),
normalization: NormalizationConfig::default(),
selection_criteria: FeatureSelectionCriteria::default(),
extraction_metrics: ExtractionMetrics::default(),
dependencies: Vec::new(),
}
}
fn extract_features(&self, data: &HistoricalPerformance) -> Result<Vec<f64>, PredictionError> {
Ok(vec![0.0; 10]) }
}
impl PredictionAccuracyTracker {
fn new() -> Self {
Self {
model_accuracy: HashMap::new(),
accuracy_history: VecDeque::new(),
overall_accuracy: 0.0,
best_model: None,
model_ranking: Vec::new(),
accuracy_trends: HashMap::new(),
cv_results: HashMap::new(),
significance_tests: HashMap::new(),
calibration_data: HashMap::new(),
accuracy_alerts: Vec::new(),
}
}
fn get_current_metrics(&self) -> HashMap<String, AccuracyMetrics> {
self.model_accuracy.clone()
}
fn get_best_model(&self) -> Option<&str> {
self.best_model.as_deref()
}
fn add_accuracy_measurement(&mut self, model_id: String, accuracy: AccuracyMetrics) {
self.model_accuracy.insert(model_id, accuracy);
}
fn add_cv_results(&mut self, model_id: String, results: CrossValidationResults) {
self.cv_results.insert(model_id, results);
}
}
impl ModelEnsemble {
fn new(config: EnsembleConfig) -> Self {
Self {
models: Vec::new(),
weights: HashMap::new(),
ensemble_method: EnsembleMethod::WeightedAverage,
diversity_metrics: DiversityMetrics::default(),
performance: EnsemblePerformance::default(),
weight_adaptation: WeightAdaptation::default(),
consensus_analyzer: ConsensusAnalyzer::default(),
pruning_strategy: EnsemblePruningStrategy::default(),
}
}
fn update_weights(
&mut self,
models: &HashMap<String, PredictionModel>,
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
Ok(())
}
fn adapt_weights(
&mut self,
models: &HashMap<String, PredictionModel>,
) -> Result<(), PredictionError> {
Ok(())
}
fn predict(
&self,
features: &Array1<f64>,
horizon: Duration,
) -> Result<Prediction, PredictionError> {
Ok(Prediction {
timestamp: Instant::now(),
values: HashMap::new(),
confidence_intervals: HashMap::new(),
uncertainty: HashMap::new(),
contributing_factors: HashMap::new(),
model_id: "ensemble".to_string(),
horizon,
quality_score: 0.8,
anomaly_flags: Vec::new(),
metadata: PredictionMetadata::default(),
})
}
}
impl FeatureProcessor {
fn new() -> Self {
Self {
pipeline: Vec::new(),
scaling_params: HashMap::new(),
selection_mask: Vec::new(),
processing_stats: ProcessingStatistics::default(),
quality_monitors: Vec::new(),
feature_cache: Arc::new(RwLock::new(HashMap::new())),
streaming_processor: StreamingFeatureProcessor::default(),
drift_detector: FeatureDriftDetector::default(),
}
}
}
impl CrossValidationManager {
fn new(config: CrossValidationConfig) -> Self {
Self {
strategy: CrossValidationStrategy::KFold,
fold_config: FoldConfiguration::default(),
results: HashMap::new(),
performance_tracker: ValidationPerformanceTracker::default(),
statistical_tests: StatisticalTestFramework::default(),
quality_assurance: ValidationQualityAssurance::default(),
}
}
fn validate_model(
&self,
model: &PredictionModel,
features: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array1<f64>,
) -> Result<CrossValidationResults, PredictionError> {
Ok(CrossValidationResults::default())
}
}
impl PredictionAnomalyDetector {
fn new() -> Self {
Self {
detectors: HashMap::new(),
thresholds: AnomalyThresholds::default(),
detection_history: VecDeque::new(),
alert_system: AnomalyAlertSystem::default(),
explanation_system: AnomalyExplanationSystem::default(),
adaptive_thresholds: AdaptiveThresholdSystem::default(),
}
}
fn detect_prediction_anomalies(
&self,
prediction: &Prediction,
) -> Result<Vec<AnomalyFlag>, PredictionError> {
Ok(Vec::new())
}
}
impl AutoMLPipeline {
fn new(config: AutoMLConfig) -> Self {
Self {
algorithm_space: Vec::new(),
hyperparameter_space: HashMap::new(),
optimization_strategy: OptimizationStrategy::default(),
search_history: Vec::new(),
best_configurations: HashMap::new(),
nas_system: NeuralArchitectureSearch::default(),
meta_learning: MetaLearningSystem::default(),
budget_manager: AutoMLBudgetManager::default(),
}
}
}
impl TrendAnalyzer {
fn new(data: &VecDeque<HistoricalPerformance>) -> Self {
Self::default()
}
fn analyze_current_trend(&self, metric: &str) -> Result<TrendAnalysis, PredictionError> {
Ok(TrendAnalysis::default())
}
fn detect_seasonality(&self, metric: &str) -> Result<Vec<SeasonalComponent>, PredictionError> {
Ok(Vec::new())
}
fn calculate_reversal_probability(&self, metric: &str) -> Result<f32, PredictionError> {
Ok(0.1)
}
fn predict_volatility(&self, metric: &str, horizon: Duration) -> Result<f32, PredictionError> {
Ok(0.1)
}
fn detect_breakpoints(&self, metric: &str) -> Result<Vec<(Instant, f32)>, PredictionError> {
Ok(Vec::new())
}
fn assess_trend_quality(
&self,
metric: &str,
) -> Result<TrendQualityAssessment, PredictionError> {
Ok(TrendQualityAssessment::default())
}
}