use super::{config::*, models::TimeSeriesModelTrait};
use crate::error::{MLError, Result};
use scirs2_core::ndarray::{s, Array1, Array2};
use serde::{Deserialize, Serialize};
use std::collections::HashMap;
use std::f64::consts::PI;
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct QuantumEnsembleManager {
config: EnsembleConfig,
models: Vec<Box<dyn TimeSeriesModelTrait>>,
model_weights: Array1<f64>,
voting_circuits: Vec<Array1<f64>>,
performance_history: Vec<ModelPerformanceHistory>,
diversity_metrics: DiversityMetrics,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct ModelPerformanceHistory {
pub model_id: usize,
pub accuracies: Vec<f64>,
pub losses: Vec<f64>,
pub confidence_scores: Vec<f64>,
pub quantum_fidelities: Vec<f64>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct DiversityMetrics {
pub prediction_correlations: Array2<f64>,
pub disagreement_scores: Array1<f64>,
pub quantum_entanglement: Array2<f64>,
pub overall_diversity: f64,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct QuantumVotingMechanism {
strategy: VotingStrategy,
voting_circuit: VotingCircuit,
confidence_aggregation: ConfidenceAggregation,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum VotingStrategy {
Majority,
Weighted,
QuantumSuperposition,
BayesianAveraging,
Adaptive,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct VotingCircuit {
num_qubits: usize,
parameters: Array1<f64>,
entanglement_patterns: Vec<EntanglementPattern>,
measurement_strategy: MeasurementStrategy,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct EntanglementPattern {
pub qubits: Vec<usize>,
pub strength: f64,
pub pattern_type: EntanglementType,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum EntanglementType {
Bell,
GHZ,
Cluster,
Custom(String),
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum ConfidenceAggregation {
Average,
WeightedAverage,
QuantumCoherence,
BayesianFusion,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct BootstrapAggregator {
num_samples: usize,
sample_fraction: f64,
bootstrap_models: Vec<Box<dyn TimeSeriesModelTrait>>,
quantum_sampling: bool,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct StackingEnsemble {
base_models: Vec<Box<dyn TimeSeriesModelTrait>>,
meta_learner: Box<dyn TimeSeriesModelTrait>,
cv_folds: usize,
quantum_meta_learning: bool,
}
impl QuantumEnsembleManager {
pub fn new(config: EnsembleConfig) -> Self {
let num_models = config.num_models;
let model_weights = Array1::from_elem(num_models, 1.0 / num_models as f64);
let mut voting_circuits = Vec::new();
for model_idx in 0..num_models {
let circuit_params = Array1::from_shape_fn(10, |i| {
PI * (model_idx + i) as f64 / (num_models + 10) as f64
});
voting_circuits.push(circuit_params);
}
let performance_history = (0..num_models)
.map(|i| ModelPerformanceHistory::new(i))
.collect();
let diversity_metrics = DiversityMetrics::new(num_models);
Self {
config,
models: Vec::new(),
model_weights,
voting_circuits,
performance_history,
diversity_metrics,
}
}
pub fn add_model(&mut self, model: Box<dyn TimeSeriesModelTrait>) {
self.models.push(model);
if self.models.len() > self.model_weights.len() {
let new_size = self.models.len();
self.model_weights = Array1::from_elem(new_size, 1.0 / new_size as f64);
}
}
pub fn set_models(&mut self, models: Vec<Box<dyn TimeSeriesModelTrait>>) {
self.models = models;
let num_models = self.models.len();
self.model_weights = Array1::from_elem(num_models, 1.0 / num_models as f64);
self.performance_history = (0..num_models)
.map(|i| ModelPerformanceHistory::new(i))
.collect();
self.diversity_metrics = DiversityMetrics::new(num_models);
}
pub fn fit_ensemble(&mut self, data: &Array2<f64>, targets: &Array2<f64>) -> Result<()> {
let diversity_strategy = self.config.diversity_strategy.clone();
let voting_circuits = self.voting_circuits.clone();
for (model_idx, model) in self.models.iter_mut().enumerate() {
let (diverse_data, diverse_targets) = Self::apply_diversity_strategy_static(
&diversity_strategy,
data,
targets,
model_idx,
&voting_circuits,
)?;
model.fit(&diverse_data, &diverse_targets)?;
let predictions = model.predict(&diverse_data, diverse_targets.ncols())?;
let performance =
Self::calculate_model_performance_static(&predictions, &diverse_targets)?;
self.performance_history[model_idx].update_performance(performance);
}
self.update_diversity_metrics(data, targets)?;
self.optimize_ensemble_weights(data, targets)?;
Ok(())
}
pub fn predict_ensemble(&self, data: &Array2<f64>, horizon: usize) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
if self.models.is_empty() {
return Err(MLError::MLOperationError(
"No models in ensemble".to_string(),
));
}
let mut model_predictions = Vec::new();
for model in &self.models {
let predictions = model.predict(data, horizon)?;
model_predictions.push(predictions);
}
let ensemble_prediction = match &self.config.method {
EnsembleMethod::Average => self.average_predictions(&model_predictions)?,
EnsembleMethod::Weighted(weights) => {
self.weighted_average_predictions(&model_predictions, weights)?
}
EnsembleMethod::QuantumSuperposition => {
self.quantum_superposition_predictions(&model_predictions)?
}
EnsembleMethod::Stacking => self.stacking_predictions(&model_predictions, data)?,
EnsembleMethod::BayesianAverage => {
self.bayesian_average_predictions(&model_predictions)?
}
};
Ok(ensemble_prediction)
}
fn apply_diversity_strategy(
&self,
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
model_idx: usize,
) -> Result<(Array2<f64>, Array2<f64>)> {
Self::apply_diversity_strategy_static(
&self.config.diversity_strategy,
data,
targets,
model_idx,
&self.voting_circuits,
)
}
fn apply_diversity_strategy_static(
strategy: &DiversityStrategy,
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
model_idx: usize,
voting_circuits: &[Array1<f64>],
) -> Result<(Array2<f64>, Array2<f64>)> {
match strategy {
DiversityStrategy::RandomInit => {
Ok((data.clone(), targets.clone()))
}
DiversityStrategy::Bootstrap => Self::bootstrap_sample_static(data, targets),
DiversityStrategy::FeatureBagging => {
Self::feature_bagging_static(data, targets, model_idx)
}
DiversityStrategy::QuantumDiversity => {
Self::quantum_diversity_transform_static(data, targets, model_idx, voting_circuits)
}
}
}
fn bootstrap_sample(
&self,
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
) -> Result<(Array2<f64>, Array2<f64>)> {
Self::bootstrap_sample_static(data, targets)
}
fn bootstrap_sample_static(
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
) -> Result<(Array2<f64>, Array2<f64>)> {
let n_samples = data.nrows();
let mut sampled_data = Array2::zeros(data.dim());
let mut sampled_targets = Array2::zeros(targets.dim());
for i in 0..n_samples {
let sample_idx = fastrand::usize(0..n_samples);
sampled_data.row_mut(i).assign(&data.row(sample_idx));
sampled_targets.row_mut(i).assign(&targets.row(sample_idx));
}
Ok((sampled_data, sampled_targets))
}
fn feature_bagging(
&self,
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
model_idx: usize,
) -> Result<(Array2<f64>, Array2<f64>)> {
Self::feature_bagging_static(data, targets, model_idx)
}
fn feature_bagging_static(
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
_model_idx: usize,
) -> Result<(Array2<f64>, Array2<f64>)> {
let n_features = data.ncols();
let feature_fraction = 0.7; let n_selected = ((n_features as f64) * feature_fraction) as usize;
let mut selected_features = Vec::new();
for _ in 0..n_selected {
let feature_idx = fastrand::usize(0..n_features);
if !selected_features.contains(&feature_idx) {
selected_features.push(feature_idx);
}
}
if selected_features.is_empty() {
selected_features.push(0);
}
let mut subset_data = Array2::zeros((data.nrows(), selected_features.len()));
for (new_idx, &old_idx) in selected_features.iter().enumerate() {
subset_data
.column_mut(new_idx)
.assign(&data.column(old_idx));
}
Ok((subset_data, targets.clone()))
}
fn quantum_diversity_transform(
&self,
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
model_idx: usize,
) -> Result<(Array2<f64>, Array2<f64>)> {
Self::quantum_diversity_transform_static(data, targets, model_idx, &self.voting_circuits)
}
fn quantum_diversity_transform_static(
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
model_idx: usize,
voting_circuits: &[Array1<f64>],
) -> Result<(Array2<f64>, Array2<f64>)> {
let mut transformed = data.clone();
if model_idx < voting_circuits.len() {
let circuit_params = &voting_circuits[model_idx];
for mut row in transformed.rows_mut() {
for (i, val) in row.iter_mut().enumerate() {
let param_idx = i % circuit_params.len();
let phase = circuit_params[param_idx];
*val = *val * phase.cos() + 0.1 * (phase * *val).sin();
}
}
}
Ok((transformed, targets.clone()))
}
fn calculate_model_performance(
&self,
predictions: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
) -> Result<f64> {
Self::calculate_model_performance_static(predictions, targets)
}
fn calculate_model_performance_static(
predictions: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
) -> Result<f64> {
if predictions.shape() != targets.shape() {
return Err(MLError::DimensionMismatch(
"Predictions and targets must have same shape".to_string(),
));
}
let mae: f64 = predictions
.iter()
.zip(targets.iter())
.map(|(p, t)| (p - t).abs())
.sum::<f64>()
/ predictions.len() as f64;
Ok(1.0 / (1.0 + mae))
}
fn update_diversity_metrics(
&mut self,
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
) -> Result<()> {
let num_models = self.models.len();
let mut predictions = Vec::new();
for model in &self.models {
let pred = model.predict(data, targets.ncols())?;
predictions.push(pred);
}
for i in 0..num_models {
for j in 0..num_models {
let correlation =
self.calculate_prediction_correlation(&predictions[i], &predictions[j])?;
self.diversity_metrics.prediction_correlations[[i, j]] = correlation;
}
}
for i in 0..num_models {
let mut disagreement = 0.0;
for j in 0..num_models {
if i != j {
disagreement +=
1.0 - self.diversity_metrics.prediction_correlations[[i, j]].abs();
}
}
self.diversity_metrics.disagreement_scores[i] = disagreement / (num_models - 1) as f64;
}
let avg_correlation = self
.diversity_metrics
.prediction_correlations
.mean()
.unwrap_or(0.0);
self.diversity_metrics.overall_diversity = 1.0 - avg_correlation.abs();
Ok(())
}
fn calculate_prediction_correlation(
&self,
pred1: &Array2<f64>,
pred2: &Array2<f64>,
) -> Result<f64> {
if pred1.shape() != pred2.shape() {
return Err(MLError::DimensionMismatch(
"Prediction arrays must have same shape".to_string(),
));
}
let flat1: Vec<f64> = pred1.iter().cloned().collect();
let flat2: Vec<f64> = pred2.iter().cloned().collect();
let mean1 = flat1.iter().sum::<f64>() / flat1.len() as f64;
let mean2 = flat2.iter().sum::<f64>() / flat2.len() as f64;
let mut numerator = 0.0;
let mut sum_sq1 = 0.0;
let mut sum_sq2 = 0.0;
for (v1, v2) in flat1.iter().zip(flat2.iter()) {
let dev1 = v1 - mean1;
let dev2 = v2 - mean2;
numerator += dev1 * dev2;
sum_sq1 += dev1 * dev1;
sum_sq2 += dev2 * dev2;
}
let denominator = (sum_sq1 * sum_sq2).sqrt();
if denominator < 1e-10 {
Ok(0.0)
} else {
Ok(numerator / denominator)
}
}
fn optimize_ensemble_weights(
&mut self,
data: &Array2<f64>,
targets: &Array2<f64>,
) -> Result<()> {
let num_models = self.models.len();
let mut model_performances = Vec::new();
for model in &self.models {
let predictions = model.predict(data, targets.ncols())?;
let performance = self.calculate_model_performance(&predictions, targets)?;
model_performances.push(performance);
}
let total_performance: f64 = model_performances.iter().sum();
if total_performance > 1e-10 {
for (i, &performance) in model_performances.iter().enumerate() {
self.model_weights[i] = performance / total_performance;
}
} else {
self.model_weights.fill(1.0 / num_models as f64);
}
Ok(())
}
fn average_predictions(&self, predictions: &[Array2<f64>]) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
if predictions.is_empty() {
return Err(MLError::DataError("No predictions to average".to_string()));
}
let mut avg_pred = Array2::zeros(predictions[0].dim());
for pred in predictions {
avg_pred = avg_pred + pred;
}
Ok(avg_pred / predictions.len() as f64)
}
fn weighted_average_predictions(
&self,
predictions: &[Array2<f64>],
weights: &[f64],
) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
if predictions.is_empty() {
return Err(MLError::DataError("No predictions to average".to_string()));
}
if predictions.len() != weights.len() {
return Err(MLError::DimensionMismatch(
"Number of predictions must match number of weights".to_string(),
));
}
let mut weighted_pred = Array2::zeros(predictions[0].dim());
for (pred, &weight) in predictions.iter().zip(weights.iter()) {
weighted_pred = weighted_pred + pred * weight;
}
Ok(weighted_pred)
}
fn quantum_superposition_predictions(
&self,
predictions: &[Array2<f64>],
) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
if predictions.is_empty() {
return Err(MLError::DataError(
"No predictions for quantum superposition".to_string(),
));
}
let (n_samples, n_features) = predictions[0].dim();
let mut ensemble_pred = Array2::zeros((n_samples, n_features));
for i in 0..n_samples {
for j in 0..n_features {
let mut superposition = 0.0;
let mut normalization = 0.0;
for (k, pred) in predictions.iter().enumerate() {
let amplitude = ((k as f64 + 1.0) * PI / predictions.len() as f64).cos();
superposition += pred[[i, j]] * amplitude;
normalization += amplitude * amplitude;
}
if normalization > 1e-10 {
ensemble_pred[[i, j]] = superposition / normalization.sqrt();
} else {
ensemble_pred[[i, j]] = superposition;
}
}
}
Ok(ensemble_pred)
}
fn stacking_predictions(
&self,
predictions: &[Array2<f64>],
data: &Array2<f64>,
) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
self.weighted_average_predictions(predictions, &self.model_weights.to_vec())
}
fn bayesian_average_predictions(&self, predictions: &[Array2<f64>]) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
let weights: Vec<f64> = self
.performance_history
.iter()
.map(|h| h.get_average_accuracy())
.collect();
self.weighted_average_predictions(predictions, &weights)
}
pub fn get_diversity_metrics(&self) -> &DiversityMetrics {
&self.diversity_metrics
}
pub fn get_model_weights(&self) -> &Array1<f64> {
&self.model_weights
}
pub fn get_performance_history(&self) -> &[ModelPerformanceHistory] {
&self.performance_history
}
}
impl ModelPerformanceHistory {
pub fn new(model_id: usize) -> Self {
Self {
model_id,
accuracies: Vec::new(),
losses: Vec::new(),
confidence_scores: Vec::new(),
quantum_fidelities: Vec::new(),
}
}
pub fn update_performance(&mut self, accuracy: f64) {
self.accuracies.push(accuracy);
self.losses.push(1.0 - accuracy); self.confidence_scores.push(accuracy);
self.quantum_fidelities.push(accuracy * 0.9); }
pub fn get_average_accuracy(&self) -> f64 {
if self.accuracies.is_empty() {
0.5 } else {
self.accuracies.iter().sum::<f64>() / self.accuracies.len() as f64
}
}
pub fn get_latest_accuracy(&self) -> f64 {
self.accuracies.last().copied().unwrap_or(0.5)
}
}
impl DiversityMetrics {
pub fn new(num_models: usize) -> Self {
Self {
prediction_correlations: Array2::zeros((num_models, num_models)),
disagreement_scores: Array1::zeros(num_models),
quantum_entanglement: Array2::zeros((num_models, num_models)),
overall_diversity: 0.0,
}
}
}
impl QuantumVotingMechanism {
pub fn new(strategy: VotingStrategy, num_qubits: usize) -> Self {
let voting_circuit = VotingCircuit::new(num_qubits);
Self {
strategy,
voting_circuit,
confidence_aggregation: ConfidenceAggregation::QuantumCoherence,
}
}
pub fn quantum_vote(
&self,
predictions: &[Array2<f64>],
confidences: &[f64],
) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
match &self.strategy {
VotingStrategy::QuantumSuperposition => {
self.quantum_superposition_vote(predictions, confidences)
}
VotingStrategy::Adaptive => self.adaptive_quantum_vote(predictions, confidences),
_ => {
self.weighted_vote(predictions, confidences)
}
}
}
fn quantum_superposition_vote(
&self,
predictions: &[Array2<f64>],
confidences: &[f64],
) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
if predictions.is_empty() {
return Err(MLError::DataError("No predictions for voting".to_string()));
}
let (n_samples, n_features) = predictions[0].dim();
let mut voted_pred = Array2::zeros((n_samples, n_features));
for i in 0..n_samples {
for j in 0..n_features {
let mut superposition = 0.0;
let mut normalization = 0.0;
for (k, pred) in predictions.iter().enumerate() {
let confidence = confidences.get(k).copied().unwrap_or(1.0);
let quantum_amplitude = confidence.sqrt()
* ((k as f64 + 1.0) * PI / predictions.len() as f64).cos();
superposition += pred[[i, j]] * quantum_amplitude;
normalization += quantum_amplitude * quantum_amplitude;
}
if normalization > 1e-10 {
voted_pred[[i, j]] = superposition / normalization.sqrt();
} else {
voted_pred[[i, j]] = superposition;
}
}
}
Ok(voted_pred)
}
fn adaptive_quantum_vote(
&self,
predictions: &[Array2<f64>],
confidences: &[f64],
) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
self.quantum_superposition_vote(predictions, confidences)
}
fn weighted_vote(
&self,
predictions: &[Array2<f64>],
confidences: &[f64],
) -> Result<Array2<f64>> {
if predictions.is_empty() {
return Err(MLError::DataError("No predictions for voting".to_string()));
}
let mut weighted_pred = Array2::zeros(predictions[0].dim());
let total_confidence: f64 = confidences.iter().sum();
if total_confidence > 1e-10 {
for (pred, &confidence) in predictions.iter().zip(confidences.iter()) {
weighted_pred = weighted_pred + pred * (confidence / total_confidence);
}
} else {
for pred in predictions {
weighted_pred = weighted_pred + pred;
}
weighted_pred = weighted_pred / predictions.len() as f64;
}
Ok(weighted_pred)
}
}
impl VotingCircuit {
pub fn new(num_qubits: usize) -> Self {
let parameters =
Array1::from_shape_fn(num_qubits * 2, |i| PI * i as f64 / (num_qubits * 2) as f64);
let entanglement_patterns = vec![EntanglementPattern {
qubits: (0..num_qubits).collect(),
strength: 1.0,
pattern_type: EntanglementType::GHZ,
}];
Self {
num_qubits,
parameters,
entanglement_patterns,
measurement_strategy: MeasurementStrategy::Computational,
}
}
pub fn execute_voting(&self, inputs: &[f64]) -> Result<Array1<f64>> {
let mut outputs = Array1::zeros(inputs.len());
for (i, &input) in inputs.iter().enumerate() {
let param_idx = i % self.parameters.len();
let phase = self.parameters[param_idx] * input;
outputs[i] = phase.cos(); }
Ok(outputs)
}
}
pub struct EnsemblePerformanceAnalyzer {
metrics: Vec<String>,
}
impl EnsemblePerformanceAnalyzer {
pub fn new() -> Self {
Self {
metrics: vec![
"ensemble_accuracy".to_string(),
"diversity_score".to_string(),
"individual_contributions".to_string(),
"quantum_coherence".to_string(),
],
}
}
pub fn analyze_performance(
&self,
ensemble: &QuantumEnsembleManager,
test_data: &Array2<f64>,
test_targets: &Array2<f64>,
) -> Result<HashMap<String, f64>> {
let mut results = HashMap::new();
let ensemble_pred = ensemble.predict_ensemble(test_data, test_targets.ncols())?;
let ensemble_accuracy = self.calculate_accuracy(&ensemble_pred, test_targets)?;
results.insert("ensemble_accuracy".to_string(), ensemble_accuracy);
let diversity_score = ensemble.get_diversity_metrics().overall_diversity;
results.insert("diversity_score".to_string(), diversity_score);
let avg_individual_contrib = ensemble.get_model_weights().mean().unwrap_or(0.0);
results.insert(
"individual_contributions".to_string(),
avg_individual_contrib,
);
let quantum_coherence = diversity_score * ensemble_accuracy;
results.insert("quantum_coherence".to_string(), quantum_coherence);
Ok(results)
}
fn calculate_accuracy(&self, predictions: &Array2<f64>, targets: &Array2<f64>) -> Result<f64> {
if predictions.shape() != targets.shape() {
return Err(MLError::DimensionMismatch(
"Predictions and targets must have same shape".to_string(),
));
}
let mae: f64 = predictions
.iter()
.zip(targets.iter())
.map(|(p, t)| (p - t).abs())
.sum::<f64>()
/ predictions.len() as f64;
Ok(1.0 / (1.0 + mae))
}
}