use anyhow::Result;
use serde::{Deserialize, Serialize};
use std::collections::{HashMap, VecDeque};
use std::sync::Arc;
use std::time::{Duration, SystemTime};
use tokio::sync::{broadcast, Mutex as AsyncMutex, RwLock as AsyncRwLock};
use tokio::time::interval;
use tracing::{error, info};
use crate::ai_query_predictor::AIQueryPredictor;
use crate::performance::{PerformanceStats, PerformanceTracker};
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct PredictiveAnalyticsConfig {
pub enable_real_time_monitoring: bool,
pub enable_anomaly_detection: bool,
pub enable_capacity_planning: bool,
pub enable_trend_analysis: bool,
pub enable_predictive_scaling: bool,
pub monitoring_interval: Duration,
pub prediction_window: Duration,
pub anomaly_threshold: f64,
pub trend_window: Duration,
pub capacity_threshold: f64,
pub alert_config: AlertConfig,
pub metrics_retention: Duration,
pub sampling_rate: f64,
}
impl Default for PredictiveAnalyticsConfig {
fn default() -> Self {
Self {
enable_real_time_monitoring: true,
enable_anomaly_detection: true,
enable_capacity_planning: true,
enable_trend_analysis: true,
enable_predictive_scaling: true,
monitoring_interval: Duration::from_secs(10),
prediction_window: Duration::from_secs(300),
anomaly_threshold: 2.0, trend_window: Duration::from_secs(3600),
capacity_threshold: 0.8, alert_config: AlertConfig::default(),
metrics_retention: Duration::from_secs(86400 * 7), sampling_rate: 1.0, }
}
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct AlertConfig {
pub enable_alerts: bool,
pub alert_channels: Vec<AlertChannel>,
pub severity_thresholds: HashMap<AlertType, f64>,
pub cooldown_period: Duration,
pub escalation_rules: Vec<EscalationRule>,
}
impl Default for AlertConfig {
fn default() -> Self {
let mut severity_thresholds = HashMap::new();
severity_thresholds.insert(AlertType::HighLatency, 1000.0); severity_thresholds.insert(AlertType::HighErrorRate, 0.05); severity_thresholds.insert(AlertType::HighMemoryUsage, 0.9); severity_thresholds.insert(AlertType::AnomalyDetected, 3.0);
Self {
enable_alerts: true,
alert_channels: vec![AlertChannel::Log, AlertChannel::Metrics],
severity_thresholds,
cooldown_period: Duration::from_secs(300),
escalation_rules: Vec::new(),
}
}
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub enum AlertChannel {
Log,
Metrics,
Webhook { url: String },
Email { recipients: Vec<String> },
Slack { webhook_url: String },
PagerDuty { integration_key: String },
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Hash, Eq, PartialEq)]
pub enum AlertType {
HighLatency,
HighErrorRate,
HighMemoryUsage,
HighCPUUsage,
AnomalyDetected,
CapacityExceeded,
TrendDegrading,
PredictiveFailure,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct EscalationRule {
pub condition: EscalationCondition,
pub action: EscalationAction,
pub delay: Duration,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub enum EscalationCondition {
TimeElapsed(Duration),
SeverityLevel(AlertSeverity),
RepeatCount(usize),
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub enum EscalationAction {
NotifyChannel(AlertChannel),
AutoScale { target_capacity: f64 },
FailoverToBackup,
EnableCircuitBreaker,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Eq, PartialOrd, Ord, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum AlertSeverity {
Info,
Warning,
Critical,
Emergency,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct PredictiveMetrics {
pub current_metrics: PerformanceStats,
pub predicted_metrics: PredictedPerformance,
pub anomalies: Vec<Anomaly>,
pub trends: TrendAnalysis,
pub capacity_forecast: CapacityForecast,
pub risk_assessment: RiskAssessment,
pub timestamp: SystemTime,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct PredictedPerformance {
pub next_5_minutes: PerformanceForecast,
pub next_15_minutes: PerformanceForecast,
pub next_hour: PerformanceForecast,
pub confidence_scores: HashMap<String, f64>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct PerformanceForecast {
pub predicted_qps: f64,
pub predicted_latency: Duration,
pub predicted_error_rate: f64,
pub predicted_memory_usage: f64,
pub predicted_cpu_usage: f64,
pub confidence_interval: (f64, f64),
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct Anomaly {
pub metric_name: String,
pub current_value: f64,
pub expected_value: f64,
pub deviation_score: f64,
pub severity: AlertSeverity,
pub detected_at: SystemTime,
pub duration: Duration,
pub likely_cause: Option<String>,
pub suggested_action: Option<String>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct TrendAnalysis {
pub performance_trend: TrendDirection,
pub trend_strength: f64,
pub trend_duration: Duration,
pub seasonal_patterns: Vec<SeasonalPattern>,
pub change_points: Vec<ChangePoint>,
pub forecast_accuracy: f64,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum TrendDirection {
Improving,
Stable,
Degrading,
Volatile,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct SeasonalPattern {
pub pattern_type: SeasonalType,
pub period: Duration,
pub amplitude: f64,
pub confidence: f64,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum SeasonalType {
Hourly,
Daily,
Weekly,
Monthly,
Custom { period: Duration },
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct ChangePoint {
pub timestamp: SystemTime,
pub metric: String,
pub magnitude: f64,
pub confidence: f64,
pub likely_cause: Option<String>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct CapacityForecast {
pub current_utilization: f64,
pub predicted_peak: CapacityPrediction,
pub time_to_capacity: Option<Duration>,
pub scaling_recommendations: Vec<ScalingRecommendation>,
pub resource_bottlenecks: Vec<ResourceBottleneck>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct CapacityPrediction {
pub utilization: f64,
pub timestamp: SystemTime,
pub confidence: f64,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct ScalingRecommendation {
pub resource_type: ResourceType,
pub action: ScalingAction,
pub urgency: ScalingUrgency,
pub estimated_impact: f64,
pub cost_estimate: Option<f64>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum ResourceType {
CPU,
Memory,
Storage,
Network,
Instances,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum ScalingAction {
ScaleUp { factor: f64 },
ScaleDown { factor: f64 },
ScaleOut { instances: usize },
ScaleIn { instances: usize },
Optimize { recommendation: String },
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum ScalingUrgency {
Low,
Medium,
High,
Critical,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct ResourceBottleneck {
pub resource: ResourceType,
pub current_utilization: f64,
pub impact_score: f64,
pub mitigation_suggestions: Vec<String>,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct RiskAssessment {
pub overall_risk_score: f64,
pub risk_factors: Vec<RiskFactor>,
pub mitigation_strategies: Vec<MitigationStrategy>,
pub sla_breach_probability: f64,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct RiskFactor {
pub factor_type: RiskType,
pub probability: f64,
pub impact: f64,
pub risk_score: f64,
pub description: String,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub enum RiskType {
CapacityRisk,
PerformanceRisk,
AvailabilityRisk,
SecurityRisk,
DataRisk,
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
pub struct MitigationStrategy {
pub strategy_name: String,
pub effectiveness: f64,
pub implementation_cost: f64,
pub time_to_implement: Duration,
pub description: String,
}
pub struct PredictiveAnalyticsEngine {
config: PredictiveAnalyticsConfig,
ai_predictor: Arc<AIQueryPredictor>,
performance_tracker: Arc<PerformanceTracker>,
metrics_history: Arc<AsyncRwLock<VecDeque<PredictiveMetrics>>>,
anomaly_detector: Arc<AsyncRwLock<AnomalyDetector>>,
trend_analyzer: Arc<AsyncRwLock<TrendAnalyzer>>,
capacity_planner: Arc<AsyncRwLock<CapacityPlanner>>,
#[allow(dead_code)]
alert_manager: Arc<AsyncMutex<AlertManager>>,
monitoring_tasks: Arc<AsyncMutex<Vec<tokio::task::JoinHandle<()>>>>,
alert_sender: broadcast::Sender<Alert>,
}
impl PredictiveAnalyticsEngine {
pub fn new(
config: PredictiveAnalyticsConfig,
ai_predictor: Arc<AIQueryPredictor>,
performance_tracker: Arc<PerformanceTracker>,
) -> (Self, broadcast::Receiver<Alert>) {
let (alert_sender, alert_receiver) = broadcast::channel(1000);
let engine = Self {
config: config.clone(),
ai_predictor,
performance_tracker,
metrics_history: Arc::new(AsyncRwLock::new(VecDeque::new())),
anomaly_detector: Arc::new(AsyncRwLock::new(AnomalyDetector::new(&config))),
trend_analyzer: Arc::new(AsyncRwLock::new(TrendAnalyzer::new(&config))),
capacity_planner: Arc::new(AsyncRwLock::new(CapacityPlanner::new(&config))),
alert_manager: Arc::new(AsyncMutex::new(AlertManager::new(config.alert_config))),
monitoring_tasks: Arc::new(AsyncMutex::new(Vec::new())),
alert_sender,
};
(engine, alert_receiver)
}
pub async fn start(&self) -> Result<()> {
info!("Starting predictive analytics engine");
let mut tasks = self.monitoring_tasks.lock().await;
if self.config.enable_real_time_monitoring {
let task = self.start_real_time_monitoring().await?;
tasks.push(task);
}
if self.config.enable_anomaly_detection {
let task = self.start_anomaly_detection().await?;
tasks.push(task);
}
if self.config.enable_trend_analysis {
let task = self.start_trend_analysis().await?;
tasks.push(task);
}
if self.config.enable_capacity_planning {
let task = self.start_capacity_planning().await?;
tasks.push(task);
}
info!("Predictive analytics engine started successfully");
Ok(())
}
async fn start_real_time_monitoring(&self) -> Result<tokio::task::JoinHandle<()>> {
let config = self.config.clone();
let performance_tracker = Arc::clone(&self.performance_tracker);
let metrics_history = Arc::clone(&self.metrics_history);
let ai_predictor = Arc::clone(&self.ai_predictor);
let alert_sender = self.alert_sender.clone();
let task = tokio::spawn(async move {
let mut interval = interval(config.monitoring_interval);
loop {
interval.tick().await;
match Self::collect_predictive_metrics(&performance_tracker, &ai_predictor, &config)
.await
{
Ok(metrics) => {
{
let mut history = metrics_history.write().await;
history.push_back(metrics.clone());
let max_entries = (config.metrics_retention.as_secs()
/ config.monitoring_interval.as_secs())
as usize;
while history.len() > max_entries {
history.pop_front();
}
}
if let Err(e) = Self::check_immediate_alerts(&metrics, &alert_sender).await
{
error!("Failed to check immediate alerts: {}", e);
}
}
Err(e) => {
error!("Failed to collect predictive metrics: {}", e);
}
}
}
});
Ok(task)
}
async fn start_anomaly_detection(&self) -> Result<tokio::task::JoinHandle<()>> {
let config = self.config.clone();
let anomaly_detector = Arc::clone(&self.anomaly_detector);
let metrics_history = Arc::clone(&self.metrics_history);
let alert_sender = self.alert_sender.clone();
let task = tokio::spawn(async move {
let mut interval = interval(config.monitoring_interval * 2);
loop {
interval.tick().await;
match Self::detect_anomalies(&anomaly_detector, &metrics_history).await {
Ok(anomalies) => {
for anomaly in anomalies {
let alert = Alert {
alert_type: AlertType::AnomalyDetected,
severity: anomaly.severity.clone(),
message: format!("Anomaly detected in {}: current={:.2}, expected={:.2}, deviation={:.2}",
anomaly.metric_name, anomaly.current_value,
anomaly.expected_value, anomaly.deviation_score),
timestamp: SystemTime::now(),
metadata: HashMap::new(),
};
if let Err(e) = alert_sender.send(alert) {
error!("Failed to send anomaly alert: {}", e);
}
}
}
Err(e) => {
error!("Failed to detect anomalies: {}", e);
}
}
}
});
Ok(task)
}
async fn start_trend_analysis(&self) -> Result<tokio::task::JoinHandle<()>> {
let config = self.config.clone();
let trend_analyzer = Arc::clone(&self.trend_analyzer);
let metrics_history = Arc::clone(&self.metrics_history);
let alert_sender = self.alert_sender.clone();
let task = tokio::spawn(async move {
let mut interval = interval(config.trend_window / 4);
loop {
interval.tick().await;
match Self::analyze_trends(&trend_analyzer, &metrics_history).await {
Ok(trend_analysis) => {
if matches!(trend_analysis.performance_trend, TrendDirection::Degrading)
&& trend_analysis.trend_strength > 0.7
{
let alert = Alert {
alert_type: AlertType::TrendDegrading,
severity: AlertSeverity::Warning,
message: format!(
"Performance trend degrading with strength {:.2}",
trend_analysis.trend_strength
),
timestamp: SystemTime::now(),
metadata: HashMap::new(),
};
if let Err(e) = alert_sender.send(alert) {
error!("Failed to send trend alert: {}", e);
}
}
}
Err(e) => {
error!("Failed to analyze trends: {}", e);
}
}
}
});
Ok(task)
}
async fn start_capacity_planning(&self) -> Result<tokio::task::JoinHandle<()>> {
let config = self.config.clone();
let capacity_planner = Arc::clone(&self.capacity_planner);
let metrics_history = Arc::clone(&self.metrics_history);
let alert_sender = self.alert_sender.clone();
let task = tokio::spawn(async move {
let mut interval = interval(config.prediction_window);
loop {
interval.tick().await;
match Self::plan_capacity(&capacity_planner, &metrics_history, &config).await {
Ok(capacity_forecast) => {
if capacity_forecast.current_utilization > config.capacity_threshold {
let alert = Alert {
alert_type: AlertType::CapacityExceeded,
severity: AlertSeverity::Critical,
message: format!(
"Capacity threshold exceeded: {:.2}%",
capacity_forecast.current_utilization * 100.0
),
timestamp: SystemTime::now(),
metadata: HashMap::new(),
};
if let Err(e) = alert_sender.send(alert) {
error!("Failed to send capacity alert: {}", e);
}
}
}
Err(e) => {
error!("Failed to plan capacity: {}", e);
}
}
}
});
Ok(task)
}
async fn collect_predictive_metrics(
_performance_tracker: &Arc<PerformanceTracker>,
_ai_predictor: &Arc<AIQueryPredictor>,
_config: &PredictiveAnalyticsConfig,
) -> Result<PredictiveMetrics> {
let base_exec_time = Duration::from_millis(120); let variance_factor = 0.2;
Ok(PredictiveMetrics {
current_metrics: PerformanceStats {
total_requests: 1000,
total_errors: 10,
avg_execution_time: base_exec_time,
p50_execution_time: Duration::from_millis(
(base_exec_time.as_millis() as f64 * 0.8) as u64,
),
p95_execution_time: Duration::from_millis(
(base_exec_time.as_millis() as f64 * (1.0 + variance_factor * 2.0)) as u64,
),
p99_execution_time: Duration::from_millis(
(base_exec_time.as_millis() as f64 * (1.0 + variance_factor * 4.0)) as u64,
),
cache_hit_ratio: 0.85,
queries_per_second: 10.0,
error_rate: 0.01,
most_expensive_queries: Vec::new(),
slowest_fields: Vec::new(),
client_stats: HashMap::new(),
},
predicted_metrics: PredictedPerformance {
next_5_minutes: PerformanceForecast {
predicted_qps: 12.0,
predicted_latency: Duration::from_millis(110),
predicted_error_rate: 0.012,
predicted_memory_usage: 0.7,
predicted_cpu_usage: 0.6,
confidence_interval: (0.8, 0.95),
},
next_15_minutes: PerformanceForecast {
predicted_qps: 15.0,
predicted_latency: Duration::from_millis(120),
predicted_error_rate: 0.015,
predicted_memory_usage: 0.75,
predicted_cpu_usage: 0.65,
confidence_interval: (0.7, 0.9),
},
next_hour: PerformanceForecast {
predicted_qps: 20.0,
predicted_latency: Duration::from_millis(150),
predicted_error_rate: 0.02,
predicted_memory_usage: 0.8,
predicted_cpu_usage: 0.7,
confidence_interval: (0.6, 0.85),
},
confidence_scores: HashMap::new(),
},
anomalies: Vec::new(),
trends: TrendAnalysis {
performance_trend: TrendDirection::Stable,
trend_strength: 0.3,
trend_duration: Duration::from_secs(3600),
seasonal_patterns: Vec::new(),
change_points: Vec::new(),
forecast_accuracy: 0.85,
},
capacity_forecast: CapacityForecast {
current_utilization: 0.6,
predicted_peak: CapacityPrediction {
utilization: 0.8,
timestamp: SystemTime::now(),
confidence: 0.7,
},
time_to_capacity: Some(Duration::from_secs(7200)),
scaling_recommendations: Vec::new(),
resource_bottlenecks: Vec::new(),
},
risk_assessment: RiskAssessment {
overall_risk_score: 0.3,
risk_factors: Vec::new(),
mitigation_strategies: Vec::new(),
sla_breach_probability: 0.05,
},
timestamp: SystemTime::now(),
})
}
async fn check_immediate_alerts(
_metrics: &PredictiveMetrics,
_alert_sender: &broadcast::Sender<Alert>,
) -> Result<()> {
Ok(())
}
async fn detect_anomalies(
_anomaly_detector: &Arc<AsyncRwLock<AnomalyDetector>>,
_metrics_history: &Arc<AsyncRwLock<VecDeque<PredictiveMetrics>>>,
) -> Result<Vec<Anomaly>> {
Ok(Vec::new())
}
async fn analyze_trends(
_trend_analyzer: &Arc<AsyncRwLock<TrendAnalyzer>>,
_metrics_history: &Arc<AsyncRwLock<VecDeque<PredictiveMetrics>>>,
) -> Result<TrendAnalysis> {
Ok(TrendAnalysis {
performance_trend: TrendDirection::Stable,
trend_strength: 0.3,
trend_duration: Duration::from_secs(3600),
seasonal_patterns: Vec::new(),
change_points: Vec::new(),
forecast_accuracy: 0.85,
})
}
async fn plan_capacity(
_capacity_planner: &Arc<AsyncRwLock<CapacityPlanner>>,
_metrics_history: &Arc<AsyncRwLock<VecDeque<PredictiveMetrics>>>,
_config: &PredictiveAnalyticsConfig,
) -> Result<CapacityForecast> {
Ok(CapacityForecast {
current_utilization: 0.6,
predicted_peak: CapacityPrediction {
utilization: 0.8,
timestamp: SystemTime::now(),
confidence: 0.7,
},
time_to_capacity: Some(Duration::from_secs(7200)),
scaling_recommendations: Vec::new(),
resource_bottlenecks: Vec::new(),
})
}
pub async fn get_current_metrics(&self) -> Result<Option<PredictiveMetrics>> {
let history = self.metrics_history.read().await;
Ok(history.back().cloned())
}
pub async fn get_metrics_history(&self, duration: Duration) -> Result<Vec<PredictiveMetrics>> {
let history = self.metrics_history.read().await;
let cutoff = SystemTime::now() - duration;
Ok(history
.iter()
.filter(|m| m.timestamp >= cutoff)
.cloned()
.collect())
}
}
#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
pub struct Alert {
pub alert_type: AlertType,
pub severity: AlertSeverity,
pub message: String,
pub timestamp: SystemTime,
pub metadata: HashMap<String, String>,
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct AnomalyDetector {
#[allow(dead_code)]
threshold: f64,
#[allow(dead_code)]
window_size: usize,
#[allow(dead_code)]
statistical_models: HashMap<String, StatisticalModel>,
}
impl AnomalyDetector {
pub fn new(config: &PredictiveAnalyticsConfig) -> Self {
Self {
threshold: config.anomaly_threshold,
window_size: 100,
statistical_models: HashMap::new(),
}
}
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct TrendAnalyzer {
#[allow(dead_code)]
window_size: Duration,
#[allow(dead_code)]
seasonal_detection: bool,
#[allow(dead_code)]
change_point_detection: bool,
}
impl TrendAnalyzer {
pub fn new(config: &PredictiveAnalyticsConfig) -> Self {
Self {
window_size: config.trend_window,
seasonal_detection: true,
change_point_detection: true,
}
}
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct CapacityPlanner {
#[allow(dead_code)]
prediction_horizon: Duration,
#[allow(dead_code)]
scaling_policies: Vec<ScalingPolicy>,
}
impl CapacityPlanner {
pub fn new(config: &PredictiveAnalyticsConfig) -> Self {
Self {
prediction_horizon: config.prediction_window,
scaling_policies: Vec::new(),
}
}
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct AlertManager {
#[allow(dead_code)]
config: AlertConfig,
#[allow(dead_code)]
active_alerts: HashMap<String, Alert>,
#[allow(dead_code)]
cooldown_timers: HashMap<String, SystemTime>,
}
impl AlertManager {
pub fn new(config: AlertConfig) -> Self {
Self {
config,
active_alerts: HashMap::new(),
cooldown_timers: HashMap::new(),
}
}
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct StatisticalModel {
#[allow(dead_code)]
mean: f64,
#[allow(dead_code)]
std_dev: f64,
#[allow(dead_code)]
observations: VecDeque<f64>,
#[allow(dead_code)]
model_type: ModelType,
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub enum ModelType {
ZScore,
IsolationForest,
LSTM,
MovingAverage,
}
#[derive(Debug)]
pub struct ScalingPolicy {
pub metric: String,
pub threshold: f64,
pub action: ScalingAction,
pub cooldown: Duration,
}