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use super::BacktestResult;
use super::stats::{calculate_periodic_returns, calculate_risk_ratios};
impl BacktestResult {
// ─── Rolling & temporal analysis ─────────────────────────────────────────
/// Rolling Sharpe ratio over a sliding window of equity-curve bars.
///
/// For each window of `window` consecutive bar-to-bar returns, computes
/// the Sharpe ratio using the same `risk_free_rate` and `bars_per_year`
/// as the overall backtest. The first element corresponds to bars
/// `0..window` of the equity curve.
///
/// Returns an empty vector when `window == 0` or when the equity curve
/// contains fewer than `window + 1` bars (i.e. fewer than `window`
/// return periods).
///
/// # Statistical reliability
///
/// Sharpe and Sortino are computed from `window` return observations using
/// sample variance (`n − 1` degrees of freedom). Very small windows
/// produce extreme and unreliable values — at least **30 bars** is a
/// practical lower bound; **60–252** is typical for daily backtests.
pub fn rolling_sharpe(&self, window: usize) -> Vec<f64> {
if window == 0 {
return vec![];
}
let returns = calculate_periodic_returns(&self.equity_curve);
if returns.len() < window {
return vec![];
}
let rf = self.config.risk_free_rate;
let bpy = self.config.bars_per_year;
returns
.windows(window)
.map(|w| {
let (sharpe, _) = calculate_risk_ratios(w, rf, bpy);
sharpe
})
.collect()
}
/// Running drawdown fraction at each bar of the equity curve (0.0–1.0).
///
/// Each value is the fractional decline from the running all-time-high
/// equity up to that bar: `0.0` means the equity is at a new peak; `0.2`
/// means it is 20% below the highest value seen so far.
///
/// **This is not a sliding-window computation.** Values are read directly
/// from the precomputed [`EquityPoint::drawdown_pct`] field, which tracks
/// the running-peak drawdown since the backtest began. To compute the
/// *maximum* drawdown within a rolling N-bar window (regime-change
/// detection), iterate over [`BacktestResult::equity_curve`] manually.
///
/// The returned vector has the same length as
/// [`BacktestResult::equity_curve`].
///
/// [`EquityPoint::drawdown_pct`]: super::EquityPoint::drawdown_pct
pub fn drawdown_series(&self) -> Vec<f64> {
self.equity_curve.iter().map(|p| p.drawdown_pct).collect()
}
/// Rolling win rate over a sliding window of consecutive closed trades.
///
/// For each window of `window` trades (ordered by exit timestamp as stored
/// in the trade log), returns the fraction of winning trades in that
/// window. The first element corresponds to trades `0..window`.
///
/// This is a **trade-count window**, not a time window. To compute win
/// rate over a fixed calendar period, use [`by_year`](Self::by_year),
/// [`by_month`](Self::by_month), or filter [`BacktestResult::trades`]
/// directly by timestamp.
///
/// Returns an empty vector when `window == 0` or when fewer than `window`
/// trades were closed.
pub fn rolling_win_rate(&self, window: usize) -> Vec<f64> {
if window == 0 || self.trades.len() < window {
return vec![];
}
self.trades
.windows(window)
.map(|w| {
let wins = w.iter().filter(|t| t.is_profitable()).count();
wins as f64 / window as f64
})
.collect()
}
}
#[cfg(test)]
mod tests {
use super::super::EquityPoint;
use super::super::fixtures::{equity_point, make_result, make_trade};
use crate::backtesting::position::Trade;
// ─── Rolling & temporal analysis ─────────────────────────────────────────
// ── rolling_sharpe ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
#[test]
fn rolling_sharpe_window_zero_returns_empty() {
let result = make_result(
vec![],
vec![equity_point(0, 10000.0, 0.0), equity_point(1, 10100.0, 0.0)],
);
assert!(result.rolling_sharpe(0).is_empty());
}
#[test]
fn rolling_sharpe_insufficient_bars_returns_empty() {
// 3 equity points → 2 returns; window=3 needs 3 returns → empty
let result = make_result(
vec![],
vec![
equity_point(0, 10000.0, 0.0),
equity_point(1, 10100.0, 0.0),
equity_point(2, 10200.0, 0.0),
],
);
assert!(result.rolling_sharpe(3).is_empty());
}
#[test]
fn rolling_sharpe_correct_length() {
// 5 equity points → 4 returns; window=2 → 3 values
let pts: Vec<EquityPoint> = (0..5)
.map(|i| equity_point(i, 10000.0 + i as f64 * 100.0, 0.0))
.collect();
let result = make_result(vec![], pts);
assert_eq!(result.rolling_sharpe(2).len(), 3);
}
#[test]
fn rolling_sharpe_monotone_increase_positive() {
// Strictly increasing equity → all positive Sharpe values
let pts: Vec<EquityPoint> = (0..10)
.map(|i| equity_point(i, 10000.0 + i as f64 * 100.0, 0.0))
.collect();
let result = make_result(vec![], pts);
let sharpes = result.rolling_sharpe(3);
assert!(!sharpes.is_empty());
for s in &sharpes {
assert!(
*s > 0.0 || *s == f64::MAX,
"expected positive Sharpe, got {s}"
);
}
}
// ── drawdown_series ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────
#[test]
fn drawdown_series_mirrors_equity_curve() {
let pts = vec![
equity_point(0, 10000.0, 0.00),
equity_point(1, 9500.0, 0.05),
equity_point(2, 9000.0, 0.10),
equity_point(3, 9200.0, 0.08),
equity_point(4, 10000.0, 0.00),
];
let result = make_result(vec![], pts.clone());
let dd = result.drawdown_series();
assert_eq!(dd.len(), pts.len());
for (got, ep) in dd.iter().zip(pts.iter()) {
assert!(
(got - ep.drawdown_pct).abs() < f64::EPSILON,
"expected {}, got {}",
ep.drawdown_pct,
got
);
}
}
#[test]
fn drawdown_series_empty_curve() {
let result = make_result(vec![], vec![]);
assert!(result.drawdown_series().is_empty());
}
// ── rolling_win_rate ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
#[test]
fn rolling_win_rate_window_zero_returns_empty() {
let result = make_result(vec![make_trade(50.0, 5.0, true)], vec![]);
assert!(result.rolling_win_rate(0).is_empty());
}
#[test]
fn rolling_win_rate_window_exceeds_trades_returns_empty() {
let result = make_result(vec![make_trade(50.0, 5.0, true)], vec![]);
assert!(result.rolling_win_rate(2).is_empty());
}
#[test]
fn rolling_win_rate_all_wins() {
let trades = vec![
make_trade(10.0, 1.0, true),
make_trade(20.0, 2.0, true),
make_trade(15.0, 1.5, true),
];
let result = make_result(trades, vec![]);
let wr = result.rolling_win_rate(2);
// 3 trades, window=2 → 2 values, each 1.0
assert_eq!(wr, vec![1.0, 1.0]);
}
#[test]
fn rolling_win_rate_alternating() {
// win, loss, win, loss → window=2 → [0.5, 0.5, 0.5]
let trades = vec![
make_trade(10.0, 1.0, true),
make_trade(-10.0, -1.0, true),
make_trade(10.0, 1.0, true),
make_trade(-10.0, -1.0, true),
];
let result = make_result(trades, vec![]);
let wr = result.rolling_win_rate(2);
assert_eq!(wr.len(), 3);
for v in &wr {
assert!((v - 0.5).abs() < f64::EPSILON, "expected 0.5, got {v}");
}
}
#[test]
fn rolling_win_rate_correct_length() {
let trades: Vec<Trade> = (0..5)
.map(|i| make_trade(i as f64, i as f64, true))
.collect();
let result = make_result(trades, vec![]);
// 5 trades, window=3 → 3 values
assert_eq!(result.rolling_win_rate(3).len(), 3);
}
#[test]
fn rolling_win_rate_window_equals_trade_count_returns_one_element() {
// L-2: boundary — window == trades.len() → exactly 1 element
let trades = vec![
make_trade(10.0, 1.0, true),
make_trade(-5.0, -0.5, true),
make_trade(8.0, 0.8, true),
];
let result = make_result(trades, vec![]);
let wr = result.rolling_win_rate(3);
assert_eq!(wr.len(), 1);
// 2 wins out of 3
assert!((wr[0] - 2.0 / 3.0).abs() < f64::EPSILON);
}
}