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wickra_core/indicators/
cybernetic_cycle.rs

1//! Ehlers Cybernetic Cycle Component.
2#![allow(clippy::doc_markdown)]
3
4use crate::error::{Error, Result};
5use crate::traits::Indicator;
6
7/// Ehlers' Cybernetic Cycle Component (CCC).
8///
9/// Classic EasyLanguage construct from *Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and
10/// Futures* (Ehlers 2004, ch. 4):
11///
12/// ```text
13/// smooth[t] = (x[t] + 2*x[t-1] + 2*x[t-2] + x[t-3]) / 6
14/// cycle[t]  = (1 - alpha/2)^2 * (smooth[t] - 2*smooth[t-1] + smooth[t-2])
15///           + 2 * (1 - alpha) * cycle[t-1]
16///           - (1 - alpha)^2 * cycle[t-2]
17/// ```
18///
19/// The result is a near-zero-mean oscillator that tracks the dominant cycle
20/// component while filtering trend. `alpha` is a smoothing fraction in
21/// `(0, 1]`; Ehlers recommends `2 / (period + 1)` for a given critical period.
22///
23/// The first six outputs follow Ehlers' "use the input directly" initial
24/// condition so downstream consumers stay reactive.
25///
26/// # Example
27///
28/// ```
29/// use wickra_core::{Indicator, CyberneticCycle};
30///
31/// let mut cc = CyberneticCycle::new(10).unwrap();
32/// let mut last = None;
33/// for i in 0..30 {
34///     last = cc.update(100.0 + (f64::from(i) * 0.3).sin() * 5.0);
35/// }
36/// assert!(last.is_some());
37/// ```
38#[derive(Debug, Clone)]
39pub struct CyberneticCycle {
40    period: usize,
41    alpha: f64,
42    in_buf: [Option<f64>; 4],
43    smooth_buf: [Option<f64>; 3],
44    cycle_buf: [Option<f64>; 3],
45    count: usize,
46    last_value: Option<f64>,
47}
48
49impl CyberneticCycle {
50    /// Construct with the dominant-cycle period (alpha = 2 / (period + 1)).
51    ///
52    /// # Errors
53    ///
54    /// Returns [`Error::PeriodZero`] if `period == 0`.
55    pub fn new(period: usize) -> Result<Self> {
56        if period == 0 {
57            return Err(Error::PeriodZero);
58        }
59        let alpha = 2.0 / (period as f64 + 1.0);
60        Ok(Self {
61            period,
62            alpha,
63            in_buf: [None; 4],
64            smooth_buf: [None; 3],
65            cycle_buf: [None; 3],
66            count: 0,
67            last_value: None,
68        })
69    }
70
71    /// Configured period.
72    pub const fn period(&self) -> usize {
73        self.period
74    }
75
76    /// Smoothing alpha.
77    pub const fn alpha(&self) -> f64 {
78        self.alpha
79    }
80
81    /// Current value if available.
82    pub const fn value(&self) -> Option<f64> {
83        self.last_value
84    }
85
86    /// Shift in `x` at position 0 of a 3-slot buffer.
87    fn push3(buf: &mut [Option<f64>; 3], x: f64) {
88        buf[2] = buf[1];
89        buf[1] = buf[0];
90        buf[0] = Some(x);
91    }
92    fn push4(buf: &mut [Option<f64>; 4], x: f64) {
93        buf[3] = buf[2];
94        buf[2] = buf[1];
95        buf[1] = buf[0];
96        buf[0] = Some(x);
97    }
98}
99
100impl Indicator for CyberneticCycle {
101    type Input = f64;
102    type Output = f64;
103
104    fn update(&mut self, input: f64) -> Option<f64> {
105        if !input.is_finite() {
106            return self.last_value;
107        }
108        self.count += 1;
109        Self::push4(&mut self.in_buf, input);
110
111        // Smooth needs four prior inputs (positions 0..=3).
112        let smooth = if let (Some(a), Some(b), Some(c), Some(d)) = (
113            self.in_buf[0],
114            self.in_buf[1],
115            self.in_buf[2],
116            self.in_buf[3],
117        ) {
118            (a + 2.0 * b + 2.0 * c + d) / 6.0
119        } else {
120            // Initial condition: use the raw input.
121            input
122        };
123        Self::push3(&mut self.smooth_buf, smooth);
124
125        // Cycle needs two prior smooths and two prior cycles.
126        let one_minus_half_alpha = 1.0 - self.alpha / 2.0;
127        let one_minus_alpha = 1.0 - self.alpha;
128        let drv = one_minus_half_alpha * one_minus_half_alpha;
129
130        // The 3-slot `smooth_buf` and `cycle_buf` ring buffers fill within a
131        // few updates, so the pattern match only fails during warmup. The
132        // `else` branch is therefore the Ehlers initial condition: the
133        // second-difference of the raw input series, scaled by 0.5 — matches
134        // the EasyLanguage implementation's first-bar fallback.
135        let cycle = if let (Some(s0), Some(s1), Some(s2), Some(c1), Some(c2)) = (
136            self.smooth_buf[0],
137            self.smooth_buf[1],
138            self.smooth_buf[2],
139            self.cycle_buf[0],
140            self.cycle_buf[1],
141        ) {
142            drv * (s0 - 2.0 * s1 + s2) + 2.0 * one_minus_alpha * c1
143                - one_minus_alpha * one_minus_alpha * c2
144        } else {
145            let (x0, x1, x2) = (
146                self.in_buf[0].unwrap_or(input),
147                self.in_buf[1].unwrap_or(input),
148                self.in_buf[2].unwrap_or(input),
149            );
150            (x0 - 2.0 * x1 + x2) / 4.0
151        };
152
153        Self::push3(&mut self.cycle_buf, cycle);
154        self.last_value = Some(cycle);
155        Some(cycle)
156    }
157
158    fn reset(&mut self) {
159        self.in_buf = [None; 4];
160        self.smooth_buf = [None; 3];
161        self.cycle_buf = [None; 3];
162        self.count = 0;
163        self.last_value = None;
164    }
165
166    fn warmup_period(&self) -> usize {
167        1
168    }
169
170    fn is_ready(&self) -> bool {
171        self.last_value.is_some()
172    }
173
174    fn name(&self) -> &'static str {
175        "CyberneticCycle"
176    }
177}
178
179#[cfg(test)]
180mod tests {
181    use super::*;
182    use crate::traits::BatchExt;
183    use approx::assert_relative_eq;
184
185    #[test]
186    fn new_rejects_zero_period() {
187        assert!(matches!(CyberneticCycle::new(0), Err(Error::PeriodZero)));
188    }
189
190    #[test]
191    fn accessors_and_metadata() {
192        let mut cc = CyberneticCycle::new(10).unwrap();
193        assert_eq!(cc.period(), 10);
194        assert_relative_eq!(cc.alpha(), 2.0 / 11.0, epsilon = 1e-15);
195        assert_eq!(cc.warmup_period(), 1);
196        assert_eq!(cc.name(), "CyberneticCycle");
197        assert!(!cc.is_ready());
198        cc.update(100.0);
199        assert!(cc.is_ready());
200    }
201
202    #[test]
203    fn constant_series_converges_to_zero() {
204        let mut cc = CyberneticCycle::new(10).unwrap();
205        let out = cc.batch(&[50.0_f64; 200]);
206        for x in out.iter().skip(50).flatten() {
207            assert_relative_eq!(*x, 0.0, epsilon = 1e-9);
208        }
209    }
210
211    #[test]
212    fn batch_equals_streaming() {
213        let prices: Vec<f64> = (0..120)
214            .map(|i| 100.0 + (f64::from(i) * 0.25).sin() * 5.0)
215            .collect();
216        let mut a = CyberneticCycle::new(15).unwrap();
217        let mut b = CyberneticCycle::new(15).unwrap();
218        let batch = a.batch(&prices);
219        let streamed: Vec<_> = prices.iter().map(|p| b.update(*p)).collect();
220        assert_eq!(batch, streamed);
221    }
222
223    #[test]
224    fn ignores_non_finite_input() {
225        let mut cc = CyberneticCycle::new(10).unwrap();
226        cc.batch(&(1..=30).map(f64::from).collect::<Vec<_>>());
227        let before = cc.value();
228        assert!(before.is_some());
229        assert_eq!(cc.update(f64::NAN), before);
230    }
231
232    #[test]
233    fn reset_clears_state() {
234        let mut cc = CyberneticCycle::new(10).unwrap();
235        cc.batch(&(1..=30).map(f64::from).collect::<Vec<_>>());
236        assert!(cc.is_ready());
237        cc.reset();
238        assert!(!cc.is_ready());
239    }
240}