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firstpass_core/
trace.rs

1//! The audit trace (SPEC §9.1) — the tamper-evident record of one routing decision.
2//!
3//! A trace captures *why* a request went where it did and *what it cost*: the features it was
4//! routed on, every attempt and its gate verdicts, the final served outcome, and the savings
5//! versus always calling the top rung. Each record links to the previous via [`Trace::prev_hash`]
6//! (see [`crate::hashchain`]), so the log is append-only and any tampering is detectable.
7//!
8//! **The serde field names in this module are the wire/audit contract.** External auditors
9//! parse them and re-derive the hash chain; renaming one is a breaking change that requires a
10//! schema/version bump, never a silent edit.
11
12use crate::Result;
13use crate::config::Mode;
14use crate::features::Features;
15use crate::hashchain::{Chained, record_hash};
16use crate::verdict::{GateResult, Score, Verdict};
17use jiff::Timestamp;
18use serde::{Deserialize, Serialize};
19use uuid::Uuid;
20
21/// Regime classification from the k-sample visible-pass count (ADR 0008).
22///
23/// The three regimes are validated on MBPP (k=5, n=150): 0/5 pass → 0% oracle-correct (12% of
24/// traffic); 5/5 pass → 99% oracle-correct (65%); 1–4/5 → mixed (23%). Keyed on the pass
25/// *count*, not entropy — the entropy AUC (0.431) was falsified; the count AUC is decisive.
26#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
27#[serde(rename_all = "snake_case")]
28pub enum ProbeRegime {
29    /// All k samples passed — oracle-correct ≈99% (validated on MBPP).
30    ConfidentPass,
31    /// Zero of k samples passed — oracle-correct ≈0%.
32    ConfidentFail,
33    /// 1..k-1 samples passed — mixed signal; verification information is worth its cost.
34    Ambiguous,
35}
36
37impl ProbeRegime {
38    /// Classify a pass-count into one of three regimes.
39    ///
40    /// - `0` → `ConfidentFail`
41    /// - `pass_count >= k` → `ConfidentPass`
42    /// - otherwise → `Ambiguous`
43    #[must_use]
44    pub fn classify(pass_count: u32, k: u32) -> Self {
45        if pass_count == 0 {
46            Self::ConfidentFail
47        } else if pass_count >= k {
48            Self::ConfidentPass
49        } else {
50            Self::Ambiguous
51        }
52    }
53}
54
55/// The shadow-probe signal recorded on a sampled receipt (ADR 0008 Phase 1). Records the k-sample
56/// gate-pass-count signal and its cost separately from the served cost, so savings math is clean.
57#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
58pub struct ProbeSignal {
59    /// Number of parallel probe samples drawn.
60    pub k: u32,
61    /// How many of the k samples would have been served under the route's gate/threshold rule.
62    pub gate_pass_count: u32,
63    /// Which of the three validated regimes this request falls into.
64    pub regime: ProbeRegime,
65    /// USD cost of the k shadow model calls — **separate** from `trace.final_.total_cost_usd`
66    /// so per-request savings math is not polluted by measurement cost.
67    pub probe_cost_usd: f64,
68}
69
70/// The action elastic verification (ADR 0008 Phase 3) took on the served rung.
71#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
72#[serde(rename_all = "snake_case")]
73pub enum ElasticAction {
74    /// Visible signal cleared λ → served **without** running the expensive gates (skip authorized
75    /// by the conformal bound). This is the un-verified serve the bound must cover.
76    ServeSkip,
77    /// Visible gates failed (signal at the floor) → escalated **without** paying for the expensive
78    /// gates on a doomed attempt.
79    EscalateNow,
80    /// Ambiguous middle → the expensive gates ran as usual; the gate decided.
81    Verified,
82}
83
84/// Why elastic verification (ADR 0008 Phase 3) skipped or ran the expensive gates on the served
85/// rung — recorded so an auditor can see *why* verification was skipped and check the conformal
86/// bound authorized it. Absent when elastic is off (the default), keeping pre-elastic traces
87/// byte-identical and hash-chain compatible.
88#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
89pub struct ElasticDecision {
90    /// Which of the three regimes fired.
91    pub action: ElasticAction,
92    /// The visible-gate score that drove the decision (`gate_score` over the cheap gates).
93    pub signal: f64,
94    /// The calibrated skip threshold λ the signal was compared against.
95    pub lambda: f64,
96    /// Target served-failure α the λ was calibrated at (provenance, from config).
97    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
98    pub alpha: Option<f64>,
99    /// Confidence (1−δ) the λ was calibrated at (provenance, from config).
100    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
101    pub delta: Option<f64>,
102    /// Provenance id of the calibration run that produced λ (from config).
103    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
104    pub calibration_id: Option<String>,
105}
106
107/// The rollout arm this request landed in (ADR 0009 D1), recorded so an auditor can re-derive
108/// arm membership from the receipt alone. Absent when the route has no rollout — byte-identical
109/// What Firstpass *would* have done for an observed request (ADR 0009 D2).
110///
111/// This describes a counterfactual that was never served, so it must never enter the conformal
112/// calibration set for served failures — it is a separate estimate with its own sample size.
113/// Pooling it with served outcomes would let a projection contaminate the published bound.
114#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
115pub struct ShadowSignal {
116    /// Rung that would have been served, if any gate passed.
117    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
118    pub would_serve_rung: Option<u32>,
119    /// Whether the ladder would have produced a servable answer at all.
120    pub would_pass: bool,
121    /// What the shadow evaluation cost to run.
122    pub projected_cost_usd: f64,
123    /// What the request actually cost upstream, for comparison.
124    pub actual_cost_usd: f64,
125    /// Present when shadow did not run, saying why — a skipped measurement is recorded rather
126    /// than silently absent, so a projection that has stopped tracking is visible in the record.
127    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
128    pub skipped: Option<String>,
129}
130
131/// to pre-rollout traces and hash-chain compatible.
132#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
133pub struct RolloutRecord {
134    /// Configured percent at decision time. Recorded because it changes as an operator ramps,
135    /// and a bound computed over a window spanning a ramp must be able to see that.
136    pub percent: f64,
137    /// Which identity was held constant (`session` / `request` / `tenant`).
138    pub key: String,
139    /// The bucket this request fell in, within `0..10_000`.
140    pub bucket: u32,
141    /// Whether this request enforced. The observed arm is not a failure — it is the control.
142    pub enforced: bool,
143}
144
145/// A single routing decision, start to finish.
146#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
147pub struct Trace {
148    /// Time-ordered unique id (UUIDv7).
149    pub trace_id: Uuid,
150    /// Hash of the previous record in this chain (or [`crate::hashchain::GENESIS_HASH`]).
151    pub prev_hash: String,
152    /// Tenant this trace belongs to.
153    pub tenant_id: String,
154    /// Session (e.g. an agent run) this request is part of.
155    pub session_id: String,
156    /// When the decision was made.
157    pub ts: Timestamp,
158    /// Serving mode in effect.
159    pub mode: Mode,
160    /// Which policy produced this decision.
161    pub policy: PolicyRef,
162    /// The request that was routed.
163    pub request: RequestInfo,
164    /// Every attempt made, cheapest rung first.
165    pub attempts: Vec<Attempt>,
166    /// Verdicts that arrived after serving (deferred gates, feedback API). Attach over time.
167    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Vec::is_empty")]
168    pub deferred: Vec<DeferredVerdict>,
169    /// The final served outcome and its economics.
170    #[serde(rename = "final")]
171    pub final_: FinalOutcome,
172    /// Shadow probe signal (ADR 0008 Phase 1). Absent when probe is off (the default) or when
173    /// this request was not in the configured `sample_rate` — byte-identical to pre-probe traces
174    /// and hash-chain compatible (the `skip_serializing_if` keeps absent = absent).
175    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
176    pub probe: Option<ProbeSignal>,
177    /// Which rollout arm this request was in (ADR 0009 D1). Absent when the route has no
178    /// rollout configured.
179    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
180    pub rollout: Option<RolloutRecord>,
181    /// Counterfactual signal from shadow scoring (ADR 0009 D2). Absent unless shadow is enabled.
182    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
183    pub shadow: Option<ShadowSignal>,
184    /// Index of the route that handled this request, so a downstream outcome arriving later can
185    /// be attributed to the route that actually produced it (ADR 0009 D3).
186    ///
187    /// Without this the guardrail has to pool every tenant's outcomes onto one route, which in a
188    /// multi-route config means a failing route can be masked by healthy siblings — the guard
189    /// would sit green while the thing it guards degrades. Absent on traces written before this
190    /// field existed; the guardrail treats absent as route 0, its prior behaviour.
191    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
192    pub route_ix: Option<u32>,
193    /// Shadow prediction of `P(gate-pass)` for the start rung (ADR 0008 Phase 2), from the
194    /// per-query predictor. Absent when the predictor is off (the default) — byte-identical to
195    /// pre-predictor traces and hash-chain compatible. Recorded but never acted on in this phase.
196    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
197    pub predicted_pass: Option<f64>,
198    /// Elastic verification decision (ADR 0008 Phase 3) on the served rung: why the expensive gates
199    /// were skipped or run, plus the λ / calibration provenance the skip was authorized under.
200    /// Absent when elastic is off (the default) — byte-identical to pre-elastic traces and
201    /// hash-chain compatible (the `skip_serializing_if` keeps absent = absent).
202    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
203    pub elastic: Option<ElasticDecision>,
204}
205
206/// Reference to the policy that produced a decision.
207#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
208pub struct PolicyRef {
209    /// Policy identity/version, e.g. `"static@v0"` or `"bandit@v3"`.
210    pub id: String,
211    /// Whether this decision was a deliberate exploration draw (bounded, §, only in enforce).
212    #[serde(default)]
213    pub explore: bool,
214    /// The probability the logging policy assigned to the start rung it chose — the
215    /// Horvitz-Thompson denominator for IPS / SNIPS off-policy evaluation.
216    ///
217    /// `None` for deterministic (non-exploring) policies. `skip_serializing_if` keeps old
218    /// trace bytes byte-identical when `None`, preserving hash-chain compatibility with
219    /// existing logs. Only populated when `[escalation.exploration]` is configured.
220    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
221    pub propensity: Option<f64>,
222    /// Resolved routing-mode profile when it was explicitly set (header / route / global env).
223    /// `None` means `Balanced` was in effect (the default, no override active). Absent from
224    /// the JSON when `None` → byte-identical serialization for all existing traces.
225    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
226    pub mode_profile: Option<String>,
227}
228
229/// The routed request, described without its raw content.
230#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
231pub struct RequestInfo {
232    /// Wire API the caller used, e.g. `"anthropic.messages"` / `"openai.chat"`.
233    pub api: String,
234    /// Salted hash of the prompt — never the prompt text itself.
235    pub prompt_hash: String,
236    /// The versioned feature vector routing keyed on.
237    pub features: Features,
238}
239
240/// One attempt at a rung: the model call plus the gates run against its output.
241#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
242pub struct Attempt {
243    /// Ladder rung (0 = cheapest).
244    pub rung: u32,
245    /// Model called, `provider/model`.
246    pub model: String,
247    /// Provider segment (denormalized for cheap querying).
248    pub provider: String,
249    /// Input tokens consumed.
250    pub in_tokens: u64,
251    /// Output tokens produced.
252    pub out_tokens: u64,
253    /// USD cost of this model call (excludes gate cost).
254    pub cost_usd: f64,
255    /// Wall-clock latency of the model call.
256    pub latency_ms: u64,
257    /// Gate verdicts for this attempt's output.
258    pub gates: Vec<GateResult>,
259    /// The attempt's overall verdict (the aggregate that drove escalate-or-serve).
260    pub verdict: Verdict,
261}
262
263/// A verdict that arrived after the response was served (deferred gate or downstream feedback).
264#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
265pub struct DeferredVerdict {
266    /// Gate/source identity, e.g. `"tests"` or `"feedback:ci"`.
267    pub gate_id: String,
268    /// The late verdict.
269    pub verdict: Verdict,
270    /// Optional score.
271    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
272    pub score: Option<Score>,
273    /// When it arrived.
274    pub reported_at: Timestamp,
275    /// Who reported it (a deferred gate, or a feedback-API caller identity).
276    pub reporter: String,
277}
278
279/// Where the served response came from.
280#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
281#[serde(rename_all = "snake_case")]
282pub enum ServedFrom {
283    /// A passing attempt (the normal path).
284    Attempt,
285    /// The best attempt seen, served because budget/ladder was exhausted without a pass.
286    BestAttempt,
287    /// No output served; a structured error was returned.
288    Error,
289}
290
291/// The final outcome and economics of a decision.
292#[derive(Debug, Clone, PartialEq, Serialize, Deserialize)]
293pub struct FinalOutcome {
294    /// Rung whose output was served (`None` if `served_from = error`).
295    #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
296    pub served_rung: Option<u32>,
297    /// Provenance of the served response.
298    pub served_from: ServedFrom,
299    /// Total USD spent (all model calls + all gates).
300    pub total_cost_usd: f64,
301    /// USD portion spent on gates alone.
302    pub gate_cost_usd: f64,
303    /// Total wall-clock latency the caller experienced.
304    pub total_latency_ms: u64,
305    /// Number of rung escalations taken.
306    pub escalations: u32,
307    /// What always calling the top rung would have cost (§9.1 counterfactual).
308    pub counterfactual_baseline_usd: f64,
309    /// `counterfactual_baseline_usd - total_cost_usd` — the savings this decision proves.
310    pub savings_usd: f64,
311}
312
313impl Chained for Trace {
314    fn prev_hash(&self) -> &str {
315        &self.prev_hash
316    }
317}
318
319impl Trace {
320    /// This record's own hash (SHA-256 over its canonical JSON) — the value the *next*
321    /// record stores as its `prev_hash`.
322    ///
323    /// # Errors
324    /// Returns [`crate::Error::Json`] if the trace cannot be serialized.
325    pub fn hash(&self) -> Result<String> {
326        record_hash(self)
327    }
328
329    /// Compute `savings_usd = baseline - total` and store it, keeping the field consistent
330    /// with the two it is derived from. Returns the savings.
331    pub fn recompute_savings(&mut self) -> f64 {
332        let s = self.final_.counterfactual_baseline_usd - self.final_.total_cost_usd;
333        self.final_.savings_usd = s;
334        s
335    }
336}
337
338impl std::fmt::Display for Trace {
339    fn fmt(&self, f: &mut std::fmt::Formatter<'_>) -> std::fmt::Result {
340        write!(
341            f,
342            "trace {} rung {:?} served_from {:?} cost ${:.4} saved ${:.4}",
343            self.trace_id,
344            self.final_.served_rung,
345            self.final_.served_from,
346            self.final_.total_cost_usd,
347            self.final_.savings_usd,
348        )
349    }
350}
351
352#[cfg(test)]
353mod tests {
354    use super::*;
355    use crate::features::{Features, TaskKind};
356    use crate::hashchain::{GENESIS_HASH, verify_chain};
357    use crate::verdict::Verdict;
358
359    fn sample_trace(prev_hash: &str, id: u128) -> Trace {
360        let mut t = Trace {
361            trace_id: Uuid::from_u128(id),
362            prev_hash: prev_hash.to_owned(),
363            tenant_id: "acme".into(),
364            session_id: "agent-run-4417".into(),
365            ts: "2026-07-08T15:04:05Z".parse().unwrap(),
366            mode: Mode::Enforce,
367            policy: PolicyRef {
368                id: "static@v0".into(),
369                explore: false,
370                propensity: None,
371                mode_profile: None,
372            },
373            request: RequestInfo {
374                api: "anthropic.messages".into(),
375                prompt_hash: "deadbeef".into(),
376                features: Features::new(TaskKind::CodeEdit),
377            },
378            attempts: vec![
379                Attempt {
380                    rung: 0,
381                    model: "anthropic/claude-haiku-4-5".into(),
382                    provider: "anthropic".into(),
383                    in_tokens: 2000,
384                    out_tokens: 700,
385                    cost_usd: 0.0007,
386                    latency_ms: 900,
387                    gates: vec![GateResult::deterministic("cargo-test", Verdict::Fail, 3100)],
388                    verdict: Verdict::Fail,
389                },
390                Attempt {
391                    rung: 1,
392                    model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5".into(),
393                    provider: "anthropic".into(),
394                    in_tokens: 2000,
395                    out_tokens: 800,
396                    cost_usd: 0.0121,
397                    latency_ms: 1200,
398                    gates: vec![GateResult::deterministic("cargo-test", Verdict::Pass, 2950)],
399                    verdict: Verdict::Pass,
400                },
401            ],
402            deferred: vec![],
403            final_: FinalOutcome {
404                served_rung: Some(1),
405                served_from: ServedFrom::Attempt,
406                total_cost_usd: 0.0128,
407                gate_cost_usd: 0.0,
408                total_latency_ms: 2100,
409                escalations: 1,
410                counterfactual_baseline_usd: 0.0630,
411                savings_usd: 0.0,
412            },
413            probe: None,
414            rollout: None,
415            shadow: None,
416            route_ix: None,
417            predicted_pass: None,
418            elastic: None,
419        };
420        t.recompute_savings();
421        t
422    }
423
424    #[test]
425    fn wire_field_names_are_the_contract() {
426        let t = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 1);
427        let j = serde_json::to_string(&t).unwrap();
428        assert!(j.contains("\"prev_hash\":"));
429        assert!(
430            j.contains("\"final\":"),
431            "the outcome key must serialize as `final`"
432        );
433        assert!(j.contains("\"served_from\":\"attempt\""));
434        assert!(j.contains("\"verdict\":\"fail\""));
435        assert!(j.contains("\"verdict\":\"pass\""));
436        assert!(j.contains("\"counterfactual_baseline_usd\":"));
437    }
438
439    #[test]
440    fn savings_is_baseline_minus_total() {
441        let t = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 1);
442        assert!((t.final_.savings_usd - (0.0630 - 0.0128)).abs() < 1e-12);
443    }
444
445    #[test]
446    fn traces_chain_and_verify() {
447        let t0 = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 1);
448        let t1 = sample_trace(&t0.hash().unwrap(), 2);
449        let chain = [t0, t1];
450        assert!(verify_chain(&chain, GENESIS_HASH).is_ok());
451    }
452
453    #[test]
454    fn tampering_a_served_trace_is_detectable() {
455        let t0 = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 1);
456        let t1 = sample_trace(&t0.hash().unwrap(), 2);
457        let mut chain = [t0, t1];
458        chain[0].final_.total_cost_usd = 0.0; // forge a cheaper decision after the fact
459        assert!(verify_chain(&chain, GENESIS_HASH).is_err());
460    }
461
462    #[test]
463    fn roundtrips_through_json() {
464        let t = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 7);
465        let j = serde_json::to_string(&t).unwrap();
466        let back: Trace = serde_json::from_str(&j).unwrap();
467        assert_eq!(t, back);
468    }
469
470    // ── propensity backward-compat ────────────────────────────────────────────
471
472    /// Traces where propensity is None must serialize byte-identically to pre-field traces:
473    /// the field must be absent from the JSON, not serialized as `null`.
474    #[test]
475    fn propensity_none_absent_from_json() {
476        let pr = PolicyRef {
477            id: "static@v0".into(),
478            explore: false,
479            propensity: None,
480            mode_profile: None,
481        };
482        let j = serde_json::to_string(&pr).unwrap();
483        assert!(
484            !j.contains("propensity"),
485            "propensity=None must be omitted (skip_serializing_if): {j}"
486        );
487    }
488
489    /// Old JSON without a `propensity` field must deserialize to `propensity: None`
490    /// (via `#[serde(default)]`), keeping old traces readable without schema migration.
491    #[test]
492    fn old_trace_without_propensity_deserializes_to_none() {
493        let old_json = r#"{"id":"static@v0","explore":false}"#;
494        let pr: PolicyRef = serde_json::from_str(old_json).unwrap();
495        assert_eq!(pr.propensity, None);
496    }
497
498    /// New JSON with a propensity value round-trips correctly.
499    #[test]
500    fn propensity_some_roundtrips() {
501        let pr = PolicyRef {
502            id: "bandit@v1+eps".into(),
503            explore: true,
504            propensity: Some(0.3),
505            mode_profile: None,
506        };
507        let j = serde_json::to_string(&pr).unwrap();
508        assert!(
509            j.contains("\"propensity\":0.3"),
510            "expected propensity in: {j}"
511        );
512        let back: PolicyRef = serde_json::from_str(&j).unwrap();
513        assert_eq!(back, pr);
514    }
515
516    // ── mode_profile backward-compat ─────────────────────────────────────────
517
518    /// `mode_profile = None` must not appear in the serialized JSON — byte-identical for
519    /// existing traces (Balanced is the default and must be invisible).
520    #[test]
521    fn mode_profile_none_absent_from_json() {
522        let pr = PolicyRef {
523            id: "static@v0".into(),
524            explore: false,
525            propensity: None,
526            mode_profile: None,
527        };
528        let j = serde_json::to_string(&pr).unwrap();
529        assert!(
530            !j.contains("mode_profile"),
531            "mode_profile=None must be omitted (skip_serializing_if): {j}"
532        );
533    }
534
535    /// Old JSON without a `mode_profile` field deserializes to `mode_profile: None`.
536    #[test]
537    fn old_trace_without_mode_profile_deserializes_to_none() {
538        let old_json = r#"{"id":"static@v0","explore":false}"#;
539        let pr: PolicyRef = serde_json::from_str(old_json).unwrap();
540        assert_eq!(pr.mode_profile, None);
541    }
542
543    /// `mode_profile = Some(...)` round-trips correctly.
544    #[test]
545    fn mode_profile_some_roundtrips() {
546        let pr = PolicyRef {
547            id: "static@v0".into(),
548            explore: false,
549            propensity: None,
550            mode_profile: Some("quality".into()),
551        };
552        let j = serde_json::to_string(&pr).unwrap();
553        assert!(
554            j.contains("\"mode_profile\":\"quality\""),
555            "expected mode_profile in: {j}"
556        );
557        let back: PolicyRef = serde_json::from_str(&j).unwrap();
558        assert_eq!(back, pr);
559    }
560
561    // ── ProbeRegime::classify ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
562
563    #[test]
564    fn classify_zero_is_confident_fail() {
565        assert_eq!(ProbeRegime::classify(0, 5), ProbeRegime::ConfidentFail);
566    }
567
568    #[test]
569    fn classify_all_pass_is_confident_pass() {
570        assert_eq!(ProbeRegime::classify(5, 5), ProbeRegime::ConfidentPass);
571    }
572
573    #[test]
574    fn classify_above_k_is_confident_pass() {
575        // pass_count > k is technically impossible but the rule handles it gracefully.
576        assert_eq!(ProbeRegime::classify(6, 5), ProbeRegime::ConfidentPass);
577    }
578
579    #[test]
580    fn classify_mixed_is_ambiguous() {
581        assert_eq!(ProbeRegime::classify(1, 5), ProbeRegime::Ambiguous);
582        assert_eq!(ProbeRegime::classify(2, 5), ProbeRegime::Ambiguous);
583        assert_eq!(ProbeRegime::classify(4, 5), ProbeRegime::Ambiguous);
584    }
585
586    #[test]
587    fn classify_k_equals_2_boundaries() {
588        assert_eq!(ProbeRegime::classify(0, 2), ProbeRegime::ConfidentFail);
589        assert_eq!(ProbeRegime::classify(1, 2), ProbeRegime::Ambiguous);
590        assert_eq!(ProbeRegime::classify(2, 2), ProbeRegime::ConfidentPass);
591    }
592
593    // ── ProbeSignal serde backward-compat ────────────────────────────────────
594
595    /// `probe = None` must be absent from the JSON — byte-identical to pre-probe traces.
596    #[test]
597    fn probe_none_absent_from_json() {
598        let t = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 1);
599        assert!(t.probe.is_none());
600        let j = serde_json::to_string(&t).unwrap();
601        assert!(
602            !j.contains("\"probe\""),
603            "probe=None must be omitted (skip_serializing_if): {j}"
604        );
605    }
606
607    /// Old JSON without a `probe` field deserializes cleanly (probe defaults to None).
608    #[test]
609    fn old_trace_without_probe_deserializes_to_none() {
610        // Use the canonical JSON of a probe-None trace as a stand-in for old traces.
611        let t = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 1);
612        let j = serde_json::to_string(&t).unwrap();
613        assert!(!j.contains("probe"));
614        let back: Trace = serde_json::from_str(&j).unwrap();
615        assert_eq!(back.probe, None);
616    }
617
618    /// `probe = Some(...)` round-trips correctly.
619    #[test]
620    fn probe_signal_some_roundtrips() {
621        let mut t = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 1);
622        t.probe = Some(ProbeSignal {
623            k: 5,
624            gate_pass_count: 5,
625            regime: ProbeRegime::ConfidentPass,
626            probe_cost_usd: 0.0003,
627        });
628        let j = serde_json::to_string(&t).unwrap();
629        assert!(j.contains("\"probe\""), "probe=Some must be present: {j}");
630        assert!(j.contains("\"regime\":\"confident_pass\""));
631        assert!(j.contains("\"gate_pass_count\":5"));
632        let back: Trace = serde_json::from_str(&j).unwrap();
633        assert_eq!(back.probe, t.probe);
634    }
635
636    /// Hash chain still verifies when `probe` is present — field participates in the hash.
637    #[test]
638    fn verify_chain_passes_with_probe_field_present() {
639        let mut t0 = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 10);
640        t0.probe = Some(ProbeSignal {
641            k: 3,
642            gate_pass_count: 0,
643            regime: ProbeRegime::ConfidentFail,
644            probe_cost_usd: 0.0001,
645        });
646        let t1 = sample_trace(&t0.hash().unwrap(), 11);
647        let chain = [t0, t1];
648        assert!(
649            verify_chain(&chain, GENESIS_HASH).is_ok(),
650            "chain must verify when probe is present"
651        );
652    }
653
654    /// Tampering the probe field is detectable via the hash chain.
655    #[test]
656    fn tampering_probe_field_is_detectable() {
657        let mut t0 = sample_trace(GENESIS_HASH, 20);
658        t0.probe = Some(ProbeSignal {
659            k: 5,
660            gate_pass_count: 5,
661            regime: ProbeRegime::ConfidentPass,
662            probe_cost_usd: 0.0005,
663        });
664        let t1 = sample_trace(&t0.hash().unwrap(), 21);
665        let mut chain = [t0, t1];
666        // Tamper the probe field.
667        chain[0].probe.as_mut().unwrap().gate_pass_count = 0;
668        assert!(
669            verify_chain(&chain, GENESIS_HASH).is_err(),
670            "tampered probe must break the chain"
671        );
672    }
673}