1use chrono::NaiveDate;
7use rand::Rng;
8use rust_decimal::Decimal;
9use serde::{Deserialize, Serialize};
10use std::collections::HashMap;
11use uuid::Uuid;
12
13use datasynth_core::uuid_factory::{DeterministicUuidFactory, GeneratorType};
14
15use datasynth_core::{AcfeFraudCategory, AnomalyDetectionDifficulty, ConcealmentTechnique};
16
17#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq, Hash, Serialize, Deserialize)]
19pub enum CollusionRingType {
20 EmployeePair,
23 DepartmentRing,
25 ManagementSubordinate,
27 CrossDepartment,
29
30 EmployeeVendor,
33 EmployeeCustomer,
35 EmployeeContractor,
37
38 VendorRing,
41 CustomerRing,
43}
44
45impl CollusionRingType {
46 pub fn typical_size_range(&self) -> (usize, usize) {
48 match self {
49 CollusionRingType::EmployeePair => (2, 2),
50 CollusionRingType::DepartmentRing => (3, 5),
51 CollusionRingType::ManagementSubordinate => (2, 4),
52 CollusionRingType::CrossDepartment => (3, 6),
53 CollusionRingType::EmployeeVendor => (2, 3),
54 CollusionRingType::EmployeeCustomer => (2, 3),
55 CollusionRingType::EmployeeContractor => (2, 4),
56 CollusionRingType::VendorRing => (2, 4),
57 CollusionRingType::CustomerRing => (2, 3),
58 }
59 }
60
61 pub fn involves_external(&self) -> bool {
63 matches!(
64 self,
65 CollusionRingType::EmployeeVendor
66 | CollusionRingType::EmployeeCustomer
67 | CollusionRingType::EmployeeContractor
68 | CollusionRingType::VendorRing
69 | CollusionRingType::CustomerRing
70 )
71 }
72
73 pub fn detection_difficulty_multiplier(&self) -> f64 {
75 match self {
76 CollusionRingType::EmployeePair => 1.2,
78 CollusionRingType::DepartmentRing => 1.3,
79 CollusionRingType::ManagementSubordinate => 1.5,
80 CollusionRingType::CrossDepartment => 1.4,
81 CollusionRingType::EmployeeVendor => 1.6,
83 CollusionRingType::EmployeeCustomer => 1.5,
84 CollusionRingType::EmployeeContractor => 1.7,
85 CollusionRingType::VendorRing => 1.8,
86 CollusionRingType::CustomerRing => 1.4,
87 }
88 }
89
90 pub fn all_variants() -> &'static [CollusionRingType] {
92 &[
93 CollusionRingType::EmployeePair,
94 CollusionRingType::DepartmentRing,
95 CollusionRingType::ManagementSubordinate,
96 CollusionRingType::CrossDepartment,
97 CollusionRingType::EmployeeVendor,
98 CollusionRingType::EmployeeCustomer,
99 CollusionRingType::EmployeeContractor,
100 CollusionRingType::VendorRing,
101 CollusionRingType::CustomerRing,
102 ]
103 }
104}
105
106#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq, Hash, Serialize, Deserialize)]
108pub enum ConspiratorRole {
109 Initiator,
111 Executor,
113 Approver,
115 Concealer,
117 Lookout,
119 Beneficiary,
121 Informant,
123}
124
125impl ConspiratorRole {
126 pub fn detection_risk_weight(&self) -> f64 {
128 match self {
129 ConspiratorRole::Initiator => 0.25,
130 ConspiratorRole::Executor => 0.35,
131 ConspiratorRole::Approver => 0.30,
132 ConspiratorRole::Concealer => 0.20,
133 ConspiratorRole::Lookout => 0.10,
134 ConspiratorRole::Beneficiary => 0.40,
135 ConspiratorRole::Informant => 0.15,
136 }
137 }
138
139 pub fn is_typically_internal(&self) -> bool {
141 !matches!(self, ConspiratorRole::Beneficiary)
142 }
143}
144
145#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq, Hash, Serialize, Deserialize)]
147pub enum EntityType {
148 Employee,
150 Manager,
152 Vendor,
154 Customer,
156 Contractor,
158}
159
160#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
162pub struct Conspirator {
163 pub conspirator_id: Uuid,
165 pub entity_id: String,
167 pub entity_type: EntityType,
169 pub role: ConspiratorRole,
171 pub join_date: NaiveDate,
173 pub loyalty: f64,
175 pub risk_tolerance: f64,
177 pub proceeds_share: f64,
179 #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
181 pub department: Option<String>,
182 #[serde(default, skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none")]
184 pub position_level: Option<String>,
185 pub successful_actions: u32,
187 pub near_misses: u32,
189}
190
191impl Conspirator {
192 pub fn new(
194 entity_id: impl Into<String>,
195 entity_type: EntityType,
196 role: ConspiratorRole,
197 join_date: NaiveDate,
198 ) -> Self {
199 let uuid_factory = DeterministicUuidFactory::new(0, GeneratorType::Anomaly);
200 Self {
201 conspirator_id: uuid_factory.next(),
202 entity_id: entity_id.into(),
203 entity_type,
204 role,
205 join_date,
206 loyalty: 0.7,
207 risk_tolerance: 0.5,
208 proceeds_share: 0.0,
209 department: None,
210 position_level: None,
211 successful_actions: 0,
212 near_misses: 0,
213 }
214 }
215
216 pub fn with_loyalty(mut self, loyalty: f64) -> Self {
218 self.loyalty = loyalty.clamp(0.0, 1.0);
219 self
220 }
221
222 pub fn with_risk_tolerance(mut self, tolerance: f64) -> Self {
224 self.risk_tolerance = tolerance.clamp(0.0, 1.0);
225 self
226 }
227
228 pub fn with_proceeds_share(mut self, share: f64) -> Self {
230 self.proceeds_share = share.clamp(0.0, 1.0);
231 self
232 }
233
234 pub fn with_department(mut self, department: impl Into<String>) -> Self {
236 self.department = Some(department.into());
237 self
238 }
239
240 pub fn defection_probability(
242 &self,
243 detection_pressure: f64,
244 months_in_scheme: u32,
245 external_pressure: f64,
246 ) -> f64 {
247 let base_rate = 1.0 - self.loyalty;
249
250 let pressure_factor = 1.0 + (detection_pressure * 0.5);
252
253 let fatigue_factor = 1.0 + (months_in_scheme as f64 * 0.02);
255
256 let external_factor = 1.0 + (external_pressure * 0.3);
258
259 let near_miss_factor = 1.0 + (self.near_misses as f64 * 0.15);
261
262 let probability =
263 base_rate * pressure_factor * fatigue_factor * external_factor * near_miss_factor;
264
265 probability.clamp(0.0, 1.0)
266 }
267
268 pub fn record_success(&mut self) {
270 self.successful_actions += 1;
271 self.risk_tolerance = (self.risk_tolerance + 0.02).min(1.0);
273 }
274
275 pub fn record_near_miss(&mut self) {
277 self.near_misses += 1;
278 self.risk_tolerance = (self.risk_tolerance - 0.05).max(0.0);
280 }
281}
282
283#[derive(Debug, Clone, Copy, PartialEq, Eq, Hash, Serialize, Deserialize)]
285pub enum RingStatus {
286 Forming,
288 Active,
290 Escalating,
292 Dormant,
294 Dissolving,
296 Detected,
298 Completed,
300}
301
302impl RingStatus {
303 pub fn is_operational(&self) -> bool {
305 matches!(
306 self,
307 RingStatus::Forming | RingStatus::Active | RingStatus::Escalating
308 )
309 }
310
311 pub fn is_terminated(&self) -> bool {
313 matches!(
314 self,
315 RingStatus::Dissolving | RingStatus::Detected | RingStatus::Completed
316 )
317 }
318}
319
320#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
322pub struct RingBehavior {
323 pub transaction_interval_days: u32,
325 pub timing_variance: f64,
327 pub avg_transaction_amount: Decimal,
329 pub escalation_factor: f64,
331 pub max_transaction_amount: Decimal,
333 pub preferred_days: Vec<u32>,
335 pub avoid_month_end: bool,
337 pub concealment_techniques: Vec<ConcealmentTechnique>,
339}
340
341impl Default for RingBehavior {
342 fn default() -> Self {
343 Self {
344 transaction_interval_days: 14,
345 timing_variance: 0.3,
346 avg_transaction_amount: Decimal::new(5_000, 0),
347 escalation_factor: 1.05,
348 max_transaction_amount: Decimal::new(50_000, 0),
349 preferred_days: vec![1, 2, 3], avoid_month_end: true,
351 concealment_techniques: vec![
352 ConcealmentTechnique::TransactionSplitting,
353 ConcealmentTechnique::TimingExploitation,
354 ],
355 }
356 }
357}
358
359#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
361pub struct CollusionRingConfig {
362 pub collusion_rate: f64,
364 pub ring_type_weights: HashMap<String, f64>,
366 pub min_duration_months: u32,
368 pub max_duration_months: u32,
370 pub avg_loyalty: f64,
372 pub avg_risk_tolerance: f64,
374}
375
376impl Default for CollusionRingConfig {
377 fn default() -> Self {
378 let mut ring_type_weights = HashMap::new();
379 ring_type_weights.insert("employee_pair".to_string(), 0.25);
380 ring_type_weights.insert("department_ring".to_string(), 0.15);
381 ring_type_weights.insert("management_subordinate".to_string(), 0.15);
382 ring_type_weights.insert("employee_vendor".to_string(), 0.20);
383 ring_type_weights.insert("employee_customer".to_string(), 0.10);
384 ring_type_weights.insert("vendor_ring".to_string(), 0.10);
385 ring_type_weights.insert("customer_ring".to_string(), 0.05);
386
387 Self {
388 collusion_rate: 0.50, ring_type_weights,
390 min_duration_months: 3,
391 max_duration_months: 36,
392 avg_loyalty: 0.70,
393 avg_risk_tolerance: 0.50,
394 }
395 }
396}
397
398#[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)]
400pub struct CollusionRing {
401 pub ring_id: Uuid,
403 pub ring_type: CollusionRingType,
405 pub fraud_category: AcfeFraudCategory,
407 pub members: Vec<Conspirator>,
409 pub formation_date: NaiveDate,
411 pub status: RingStatus,
413 pub total_stolen: Decimal,
415 pub transaction_count: u32,
417 pub detection_risk: f64,
419 pub behavior: RingBehavior,
421 pub active_months: u32,
423 pub transaction_ids: Vec<String>,
425 #[serde(default)]
427 pub metadata: HashMap<String, String>,
428}
429
430impl CollusionRing {
431 pub fn new(
433 ring_type: CollusionRingType,
434 fraud_category: AcfeFraudCategory,
435 formation_date: NaiveDate,
436 ) -> Self {
437 let uuid_factory = DeterministicUuidFactory::new(0, GeneratorType::Anomaly);
438 Self {
439 ring_id: uuid_factory.next(),
440 ring_type,
441 fraud_category,
442 members: Vec::new(),
443 formation_date,
444 status: RingStatus::Forming,
445 total_stolen: Decimal::ZERO,
446 transaction_count: 0,
447 detection_risk: 0.05,
448 behavior: RingBehavior::default(),
449 active_months: 0,
450 transaction_ids: Vec::new(),
451 metadata: HashMap::new(),
452 }
453 }
454
455 pub fn add_member(&mut self, conspirator: Conspirator) {
457 self.members.push(conspirator);
458 self.update_detection_risk();
459 }
460
461 pub fn size(&self) -> usize {
463 self.members.len()
464 }
465
466 pub fn initiators(&self) -> Vec<&Conspirator> {
468 self.members
469 .iter()
470 .filter(|m| m.role == ConspiratorRole::Initiator)
471 .collect()
472 }
473
474 pub fn executors(&self) -> Vec<&Conspirator> {
476 self.members
477 .iter()
478 .filter(|m| m.role == ConspiratorRole::Executor)
479 .collect()
480 }
481
482 pub fn approvers(&self) -> Vec<&Conspirator> {
484 self.members
485 .iter()
486 .filter(|m| m.role == ConspiratorRole::Approver)
487 .collect()
488 }
489
490 fn update_detection_risk(&mut self) {
492 let size_risk = (self.members.len() as f64 * 0.05).min(0.3);
494
495 let external_count = self
497 .members
498 .iter()
499 .filter(|m| !m.role.is_typically_internal())
500 .count();
501 let external_risk = external_count as f64 * 0.03;
502
503 let tx_risk = (self.transaction_count as f64 * 0.005).min(0.2);
505
506 let amount_f64: f64 = self.total_stolen.try_into().unwrap_or(0.0);
508 let amount_risk = ((amount_f64 / 100_000.0).ln().max(0.0) * 0.02).min(0.15);
509
510 let time_risk = (self.active_months as f64 * 0.01).min(0.2);
512
513 let type_multiplier = self.ring_type.detection_difficulty_multiplier();
515
516 self.detection_risk = ((size_risk + external_risk + tx_risk + amount_risk + time_risk)
518 / type_multiplier)
519 .min(0.95);
520 }
521
522 pub fn record_transaction(&mut self, amount: Decimal, transaction_id: impl Into<String>) {
524 self.total_stolen += amount;
525 self.transaction_count += 1;
526 self.transaction_ids.push(transaction_id.into());
527
528 for member in &mut self.members {
530 if matches!(
531 member.role,
532 ConspiratorRole::Executor | ConspiratorRole::Approver | ConspiratorRole::Initiator
533 ) {
534 member.record_success();
535 }
536 }
537
538 self.update_detection_risk();
539 }
540
541 pub fn record_near_miss(&mut self) {
543 for member in &mut self.members {
545 member.record_near_miss();
546 }
547
548 self.detection_risk = (self.detection_risk + 0.1).min(0.95);
550
551 if self.detection_risk > 0.5 {
553 self.status = RingStatus::Dormant;
554 }
555 }
556
557 pub fn advance_month<R: Rng>(&mut self, rng: &mut R) {
559 if !self.status.is_operational() {
560 return;
561 }
562
563 self.active_months += 1;
564
565 if self.check_defection(rng) {
567 self.status = RingStatus::Dissolving;
568 return;
569 }
570
571 if rng.random::<f64>() < self.detection_risk * 0.1 {
573 self.status = RingStatus::Detected;
574 return;
575 }
576
577 match self.status {
579 RingStatus::Forming if self.active_months >= 2 && self.transaction_count >= 3 => {
580 self.status = RingStatus::Active;
581 }
582 RingStatus::Active if self.active_months >= 6 && self.detection_risk < 0.3 => {
583 if rng.random::<f64>() < 0.3 {
585 self.status = RingStatus::Escalating;
586 self.behavior.avg_transaction_amount = self
587 .behavior
588 .avg_transaction_amount
589 .saturating_mul(Decimal::from_str_exact("1.5").unwrap_or(Decimal::ONE));
590 }
591 }
592 RingStatus::Dormant if self.active_months.is_multiple_of(3) => {
593 if rng.random::<f64>() < 0.4 && self.detection_risk < 0.4 {
595 self.status = RingStatus::Active;
596 self.detection_risk *= 0.8; }
598 }
599 _ => {}
600 }
601
602 if matches!(
605 self.status,
606 RingStatus::Forming | RingStatus::Active | RingStatus::Escalating
607 ) {
608 let txns_per_month = (30 / self.behavior.transaction_interval_days.max(1)).max(1);
609 for _ in 0..txns_per_month {
610 let variance = 0.7 + rng.random::<f64>() * 0.6; let amount = self
613 .behavior
614 .avg_transaction_amount
615 .saturating_mul(Decimal::try_from(variance).unwrap_or(Decimal::ONE));
616 let amount = amount.min(self.behavior.max_transaction_amount);
617 let tx_id = format!("TX-{}-{:04}", self.ring_id, self.transaction_count + 1);
618 self.record_transaction(amount, tx_id);
619 }
620 if self.status == RingStatus::Escalating {
622 self.behavior.avg_transaction_amount =
623 self.behavior.avg_transaction_amount.saturating_mul(
624 Decimal::try_from(self.behavior.escalation_factor).unwrap_or(Decimal::ONE),
625 );
626 }
627 }
628 }
629
630 fn check_defection<R: Rng>(&self, rng: &mut R) -> bool {
632 for member in &self.members {
633 let defection_prob = member.defection_probability(
634 self.detection_risk,
635 self.active_months,
636 rng.random::<f64>() * 0.3, );
638
639 if rng.random::<f64>() < defection_prob {
640 return true;
641 }
642 }
643 false
644 }
645
646 pub fn detection_difficulty(&self) -> AnomalyDetectionDifficulty {
648 let concealment_bonus: f64 = self
650 .behavior
651 .concealment_techniques
652 .iter()
653 .map(datasynth_core::ConcealmentTechnique::difficulty_bonus)
654 .sum();
655
656 let type_multiplier = self.ring_type.detection_difficulty_multiplier();
658
659 let score = (0.5 + concealment_bonus) * type_multiplier;
661
662 AnomalyDetectionDifficulty::from_score(score.min(1.0))
663 }
664
665 pub fn avg_share_per_member(&self) -> Decimal {
667 if self.members.is_empty() {
668 return Decimal::ZERO;
669 }
670 self.total_stolen / Decimal::from(self.members.len())
671 }
672
673 pub fn description(&self) -> String {
675 format!(
676 "{:?} ring with {} members, {} transactions totaling {}, active {} months",
677 self.ring_type,
678 self.members.len(),
679 self.transaction_count,
680 self.total_stolen,
681 self.active_months
682 )
683 }
684}
685
686#[cfg(test)]
687#[allow(clippy::unwrap_used)]
688mod tests {
689 use super::*;
690 use rand::SeedableRng;
691 use rand_chacha::ChaCha8Rng;
692
693 #[test]
694 fn test_collusion_ring_type() {
695 let emp_pair = CollusionRingType::EmployeePair;
696 assert_eq!(emp_pair.typical_size_range(), (2, 2));
697 assert!(!emp_pair.involves_external());
698
699 let emp_vendor = CollusionRingType::EmployeeVendor;
700 assert!(emp_vendor.involves_external());
701 assert!(emp_vendor.detection_difficulty_multiplier() > 1.0);
702 }
703
704 #[test]
705 fn test_conspirator() {
706 let conspirator = Conspirator::new(
707 "EMP001",
708 EntityType::Employee,
709 ConspiratorRole::Executor,
710 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
711 )
712 .with_loyalty(0.8)
713 .with_risk_tolerance(0.6)
714 .with_proceeds_share(0.4)
715 .with_department("Accounting");
716
717 assert_eq!(conspirator.loyalty, 0.8);
718 assert_eq!(conspirator.risk_tolerance, 0.6);
719 assert_eq!(conspirator.department, Some("Accounting".to_string()));
720 }
721
722 #[test]
723 fn test_defection_probability() {
724 let conspirator = Conspirator::new(
725 "EMP001",
726 EntityType::Employee,
727 ConspiratorRole::Executor,
728 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
729 )
730 .with_loyalty(0.9);
731
732 let low_pressure = conspirator.defection_probability(0.1, 1, 0.0);
734 assert!(low_pressure < 0.3);
735
736 let high_pressure = conspirator.defection_probability(0.8, 12, 0.5);
738 assert!(high_pressure > low_pressure);
739 }
740
741 #[test]
742 fn test_collusion_ring() {
743 let mut ring = CollusionRing::new(
744 CollusionRingType::EmployeePair,
745 AcfeFraudCategory::AssetMisappropriation,
746 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
747 );
748
749 ring.add_member(Conspirator::new(
750 "EMP001",
751 EntityType::Employee,
752 ConspiratorRole::Initiator,
753 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
754 ));
755 ring.add_member(Conspirator::new(
756 "EMP002",
757 EntityType::Employee,
758 ConspiratorRole::Approver,
759 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
760 ));
761
762 assert_eq!(ring.size(), 2);
763 assert_eq!(ring.initiators().len(), 1);
764 assert_eq!(ring.approvers().len(), 1);
765 assert_eq!(ring.status, RingStatus::Forming);
766 }
767
768 #[test]
769 fn test_ring_transaction() {
770 let mut ring = CollusionRing::new(
771 CollusionRingType::EmployeeVendor,
772 AcfeFraudCategory::Corruption,
773 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
774 );
775
776 ring.add_member(Conspirator::new(
777 "EMP001",
778 EntityType::Employee,
779 ConspiratorRole::Executor,
780 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
781 ));
782
783 ring.record_transaction(Decimal::new(10_000, 0), "TX001");
784 assert_eq!(ring.total_stolen, Decimal::new(10_000, 0));
785 assert_eq!(ring.transaction_count, 1);
786 assert!(ring.detection_risk >= 0.0);
788 }
789
790 #[test]
791 fn test_ring_advance_month() {
792 let mut rng = ChaCha8Rng::seed_from_u64(42);
793
794 let mut ring = CollusionRing::new(
795 CollusionRingType::DepartmentRing,
796 AcfeFraudCategory::AssetMisappropriation,
797 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
798 );
799
800 for i in 0..3 {
802 ring.add_member(
803 Conspirator::new(
804 format!("EMP{:03}", i),
805 EntityType::Employee,
806 if i == 0 {
807 ConspiratorRole::Initiator
808 } else {
809 ConspiratorRole::Executor
810 },
811 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
812 )
813 .with_loyalty(0.99), );
815 }
816
817 for i in 0..3 {
819 ring.record_transaction(Decimal::new(1_000, 0), format!("TX{:03}", i));
820 }
821
822 for _ in 0..3 {
824 ring.advance_month(&mut rng);
825 }
826
827 assert!(ring.active_months >= 3);
828 assert!(ring.status.is_operational() || ring.status.is_terminated());
830 }
831
832 #[test]
833 fn test_ring_near_miss() {
834 let mut ring = CollusionRing::new(
835 CollusionRingType::EmployeePair,
836 AcfeFraudCategory::AssetMisappropriation,
837 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
838 );
839
840 ring.add_member(Conspirator::new(
841 "EMP001",
842 EntityType::Employee,
843 ConspiratorRole::Executor,
844 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
845 ));
846
847 let initial_risk = ring.detection_risk;
848 ring.record_near_miss();
849
850 assert!(ring.detection_risk > initial_risk);
851 assert_eq!(ring.members[0].near_misses, 1);
852 }
853
854 #[test]
855 fn test_ring_detection_difficulty() {
856 let mut ring = CollusionRing::new(
857 CollusionRingType::EmployeeVendor,
858 AcfeFraudCategory::Corruption,
859 NaiveDate::from_ymd_opt(2024, 1, 1).unwrap(),
860 );
861
862 ring.behavior.concealment_techniques = vec![
863 ConcealmentTechnique::Collusion,
864 ConcealmentTechnique::DocumentManipulation,
865 ConcealmentTechnique::FalseDocumentation,
866 ];
867
868 let difficulty = ring.detection_difficulty();
869 assert!(matches!(
871 difficulty,
872 AnomalyDetectionDifficulty::Hard | AnomalyDetectionDifficulty::Expert
873 ));
874 }
875}